NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: LifeLock 400
June 10, 2009
Greetings On Pit Row readers,
For this week’s NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview I’ve added value plays; drivers aimed for salary cap owners looking for cash-saving options. Strong value plays are drivers with a good recent history at this week’s track and/or over the past several weeks. Weak value plays are less dependable drivers that have a good track record but have not performed as well in recent weeks.
The rankings will continue to be spilt by using the A, B and C drivers from the Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game. Enjoy the rankings and feel free to add your comments below!
A List
- Carl Edwards… Best average finish among active drivers, 6.6. Nine career starts: two wins, five top-fives, finished outside of the top-10 only once, led laps in six.
- Matt Kenseth… Top-fives in four of the last five, led laps in three. Top-10s in 13 of the last 17.
- Jimmie Johnson… Is he due? No wins but led at least a dozen laps in four straight, has qualified in the top-four five times.
- Kyle Busch… Won the pole last year, finished 13th. Top-13 finishes in four straight, has led laps in five of eight career starts.
- Jeff Gordon… Best starting position (4.8) over the last five years (10 starts): started first or second five times but finished 15th or worse six times.
- Greg Biffle… Over the last nine starts: two wins, four top-fives, six top-10s, led laps in six.
- Jeff Burton… Unspectacular but consistent: top-15 finishes in 10 of the last 13.
- Mark Martin… Four career wins but none since ‘98. Twenty-fifth or worse in three of the last four.
- Kevin Harvick… Top-15 finishes in six straight.
- Clint Bowyer… Six career starts: never finished better than 16th, outside of the top-20 three times.
B List
- Tony Stewart… Last 13: five top-threes, seven top-fives, 11 top-12 finishes.
- Brian Vickers… Most recent pole winner. Top-eight finishes in three straight, led laps in each.
- Kasey Kahne… Top-five or bust in 10 career starts: five top-fives, 18th or worse in the other five.
- Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Led laps in seven straight: one win, four top-six finishes.
- Denny Hamlin… Had never finished worse than 14th prior to an engine problem last year.
- Kurt Busch… Blue Deuce is wild: only one top-20 over the last four but it was a victory.
- David Reutimann… Career-best 14th-place finish in last year’s August race. Also had his best qualifying run, seventh.
- Ryan Newman… No top-10s since ‘04 but it was a victory, has qualified inside the top-five four times since.
- Martin Truex Jr…. Strong value play. ‘08- 16th and 17th-place finishes, ‘07- two second-place finishes.
- Jamie McMurray… Strong value play. ‘08- two 10th-place finishes, ‘07- eighth and 30th-place finishes.
- Casey Mears… ‘07- fourth, 11th; ‘08- 18th and 30th
- Joey Logano… Seventh-place finish in one career Nationwide start.
- Michael Waltrip… ‘07- 10th, 40th; ‘08- 19th, 23rd. Led one lap in each June race.
- David Ragan… Weak value play. ‘07- 18th, 21st; ‘08- third, eighth. Led laps in each race last year.
- Elliott Sadler… Weak value play. ‘07- 32nd, 35th; ‘08- two ninth-place finishes. Has qualified inside the top-10 in five straight August races.
- Juan Pablo Montoya… ‘07- 26th, 43rd; ‘08- 25th, 38th.
- Paul Menard… ‘07, ‘08: 11th and 12th-place finishes in June, 24th and 39th in August.
- David Gilliland… ‘07- 17th, 27th; ‘08- 26th, 27th.
- David Stremme… ‘06- 19th, 28th; ‘07- 21st and 40th.
C List
- Sam Hornish Jr…. Strong value play. Finished 22nd in both races last year.
- Marcos Ambrose… Finished 43rd (engine) in last year’s August. Average finish of 15.5 in two career Nationwide races.
- AJ Allmendinger… June ‘08: started 39th, finished 19th. August ‘08: started 33rd, finished 28th.
- Bobby Labonte… One top-10 since ‘04. Won both poles in ‘03. Swept in ‘95.
- Reed Sorenson… Beginner’s luck: finished fifth and eighth as a rookie in ‘06- 23rd or worse in four straight since.
- Scott Speed… No career starts at Michigan.
- Bill Elliott… Seven career wins. Last top-10 in ‘01. Finished 36th last year.
- Robby Gordon… Finished 24th or worse in the last three races.
- Joe Nemechek… Finished 26th or worse in six straight.
- John Andretti… One top-20 over the last eight races.
- Max Papis… No career starts at Michigan.
- Mike Skinner… Finished 35th in last year’s August race. Six career Truck series starts: two poles, three top-fives, four top-10s, average finish of 7.7.
- Sterling Marlin… Finished 20th in ‘07.
- Tony Raines… Finished 31st or worse in nine of 10 career starts.
- Dave Blaney… ‘07- sixth, 18th. ‘08- 39th, 41st
NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Pocono 500
June 3, 2009
Greetings On Pit Row readers.
The debut of the NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview last week was good one. The format is still a little bit influx so I appreciate your patience as we work on the best way to provide you with the top quick-hitting preview possible. The drivers are broken down into the A, B, C ranks that Yahoo! uses to divide the drivers. Salary cap owners can expect the price of the drivers to follow a similar structure. As we move forward, I’ll be looking to mark some drivers as good values in cap formats. For now, enjoy the ranking and feel free to add your comments below!
A List
- Jimmie Johnson… Two career victories, both in 2004, top-12s in seven of eight since. Top-sixes in four the last five. Qualified first and second last year.
- Jeff Gordon… Thirty-two career starts: 22 top-10s. Top-fives in three of the last five, including one victory.
- Carl Edwards… Two career victories, first start in 2005 and most recent race in August. Two top-10s in the six races in between.
- Mark Martin… Top-10s in seven of the last nine and four straight. Qualified second and third last season. No wins in forty-four career starts but 31 top-10s.
- Matt Kenseth… Top-14s in six straight. Led a lap three straight but only tallying six. Has led laps in nine of 18 starts but only totally 32, zero victories.
- Greg Biffle… Finished 13th and 15th last season, led a total of six laps. Finished outside of the top-20 in the three previous starts.
- Kyle Busch… Too inconstant to trust at the Triangle; 2008: 36th and 43rd, 2007: eighth and 12th
- Jeff Burton… Top-13 finishes in five of the last six, 19th or worse in four straight prior.
- Kevin Harvick… Has qualified outside of the top-20 in three straight. Finished eighth or better in four the last eight.
- Clint Bowyer… Six career starts: 21st or worse in half, but three top-10s in the last four.
B List
- Denny Hamlin… Owns the best average finish, 6.2. Two career victories, both in 2006. Six career starts: five top-six finishes, four top-threes.
- Kurt Busch… Sixteen career starts: two victories, runner-up four times, has qualified second or third on five occasions. Laps led in five of the last seven.
- Tony Stewart… Top-seven finishes in six of the last seven and 14 top-sevens for his career, 20 starts.
- Kasey Kahne… Finished where he started last season: won from the pole in last year’s Pocono 500, seventh place in August. Twenty-second or worse in five of 10 career starts.
- Brian Vickers… Ten career starts: four top-fours and runner-up twice, including last year’s Pocono 500. Has qualified outside of the top-10 only twice but they were in the last three races.
- Ryan Newman… Fourteen career starts: worse than 18th only three times. Five top-fives but only one since 2005.
- Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Top-12s in four straight, including one pole- 25th or worse in four of five prior.
- Jamie McMurray… Tied a career-best ninth place finish in August after starting 41st. Top-20s in six of the last eight.
- Joey Logano… No starts at Pocono, but three top-10s over the last five races this season.
- Juan Pablo Montoya… Two top-20s in 2007, two DNFs in 2008.
- David Reutimann… One top-20 in four career starts.
- Martin Truex Jr…. Has led laps in three of the last four but only totaling four. Finished 15th and 17th last season.
- David Ragan… Career-best fifth-place finish in August, 24th or worse in three races prior.
- Casey Mears… Would the real Mears please stand up? 2008: 22nd and 26th, 2007: fourth and 10th.
- Michael Waltrip… 26th or worse in six straight.
- Elliott Sadler… Has finished outside of the top-20 in five straight.
- David Stremme… Four career starts: never finished better than 23rd.
- Paul Menard… Four career starts: never finished better than 25th.
- David Gilliland… Four career starts: never finished better than 34th.
C List
- Sam Hornish Jr…. Started and finished 26th in the August race last year, DNF in June.
- AJ Allmendinger… Three career starts: 12th and 19th last season
- Bobby Labonte… Three victories, none since 2001- only three top-10s since. Thirty-two career starts, had led one or two laps on eight occasions.
- Marcos Ambrose… No starts at Pocono, average finish of 26.33 over the last three races.
- Reed Sorenson… Six career starts, never finished better than 24th.
- Scott Speed… No starts at Pocono.
- Joe Nemechek… Started in top-10 four times over last nine chances, finished in the top-15 only twice.
- Robby Gordon… Finished seventh and eighth back in 2004, 36th and 37th last year.
- Dave Blaney… 2008 finishes: 22nd, 31st.
- Patrick Carpentier… Started in last year’s Pocono 500: finished 32nd
- Sterling Marlin… Last start: 31st in 2007.
- John Andretti… Two starts in 2003: 23rd and 33rd.
- Mike Wallace… Two starts in 2005: 29th, 31st.
- Derrike Cope… Last start in 2003: 42nd.
- Dexter Bean… No starts at Pocono.
If you are thinking of doing any actual NASCAR betting you may be better served by finding actual NASCAR odds at a service that is involved in online wagering or something. We, most assuredly, are not.
NASCAR Power Rankings: Pocono
June 2, 2009
Mark Martin might not make history for being the oldest driver to win a race, but he is the oldest driver to ever be in first place in my Power Rankings. At Pocono Martin finishes in the top ten 70% of the time. Tony Stewart had about a 10th place car at Dover and through pit strategy he wheeled the 14 to a 2nd place finish. The 14 hasn't been the fastest this year, but they have been consistent and Stewart collected his series high 9th top ten at Dover. Johnson had the field covered at Dover and lead 298 laps out of 400. When this team is hot there is no stopping them. Expect a good run out of this team at Pocono where Johnson has a career average finish of 9.2.
Dover was a perfect example of what I said about Kyle last week. Kyle doomed himself by saying he wanted to win 200 races. Will he ever win again (not with his recent luck)? Last year at Pocono Kyle finished 36th & 43rd. Gordon started in the back and finished there at Dover. Gordon was caught on pit row during caution and never recovered. If his back pains are still a problem then I would suggest maybe the 24 team should get a Kenseth winning robot to sub. Being a Ryan Newman fan (like his name) I really hope he isn't fooling us with his recent strong performances this year. He does however have 4 top 5's and 5 top 10's over the last 6 races. Kurt Busch will be a top contender at Pocono this weekend. He's had the ability to stink up this race in the past and on Sunday it might just happen again. Over the last 6 races only Ryan Newman and Tony Stewart have accumulated more points then Biffle. From a fantasy racing perspective I would steer clear of him this weekend because he only has 1 top ten over the last 6 races at Pocono. Matt Kenseth might not be the first person who comes to your mind at Pocono but over the last 6 races he does have an average finish of 10th. More importantly he collects a top ten finish every other race at Pocono and he's due for another top ten. Carl Edwards had a good run at Dover but as I've mentioned in previous Power Rankings (not at onpitrow.com) the magic just isn't there for the 99 team in 2009. His performance however was good enough for him to make a Power Rankings appearance. Pocono is a track that is all about horsepower and accelerating off the turns. The new R6 motor is geared for acceleration. This week Kahne is testing at Indy so he might just learn something for Pocono there. Denny Hamlin might not be the best driver on the Intermediate tracks but he's a master on the short and flat ones. His numbers at Pocono are almost unrivaled. In the first 5 races of his career (6 total) his average finish was 2.8. Charlotte
Who's Up
Who's Down
Biggest Gain This Week:
Mark Martin: 3rd to 1st
Biggest Drop This Week:
Jeff Gordon: 1st to 5th
New This Week:
Dropped Out This Week:
Rank: 1st
Change: +2
Mark Martin- New #1 in Power Rankings
Rank: 2nd
Change: +2
Tony Stewart- New #1 in the Point Standings
Rank: 3rd
Change: +2
Jimmie Johnson- Had a 150 Driver rating at Dover
Rank: 4th
Change: -2
Kyle Busch- Should of never mentioned 200 wins
Rank: 5th
Change: -4
Jeff Gordon- Did he even try to race at Dover?
Rank: 6th
Change: 0
Ryan Newman- Hello Newman
Rank: 7th
Change: 0
Kurt Busch- 2 career wins at Pocono
Rank: 8th
Change: 0
Greg Biffle- Getting momentum
Rank: 9th
Change: 0
Matt Kenseth- Pocono Sleeper
Rank: 10th
Change: N/A
Carl Edwards- Last Pocono winner
Rank: 11th
Change: N/A
Kasey Kahne- New R6 engine might be the answer
Rank: 12th
Change: -2
Denny Hamlin- Pocono medicine on the way



