Atlanta Motor Speedway: Only the Top Teams Need Apply
October 22, 2008
G’wan home you guys. That’s what the stats are saying to all but the members of NASCAR’s 2008 royalty. That being the cars and drivers of Hendrick Motorsports, Joe Gibbs Racing, Roush-Fenway and Richard Childress. All others are mear pretenders to the Sprint Cup throne, at least for this race at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
The top ten Loop Driver Ratings all belong to members of those four teams. DEI pilots, Mark Martin and Martin Truex Jr come in 11th and 12th with the Dodges of Kasey Kahne and Kurt Busch right behind them. But the talent of the big four teams looks too tuned-in to AMS to be upset by those guys. It would be a huge surprise.
General Johnson’s March Through Georgia
Once again, Jimmy Johnson holds most of the Loop cards. There are 16 categories that make up the Loop Data Box Score. Jimmy has the top stat in 11 of those columns for Atlanta. Significantly Johnson holds the edge in Ave Position and Finish - 6.6 and 5.9. He has led more laps - 326 for 14.3 percent - and run the most Laps in the Top 15 - 2142 for 94.0 percent. His number one Driver Rating is 113.4. J J has the top season-to-date Driver Rating too, at 107.2.
The next four guys in the Atlanta Loop all have Driver Ratings of 102.3 or better. So Johnson won’t have the track to himself Sunday. Both Tony Stewart and Dale Earnhardt Jr are past winners at AMS and have the second and third DRs - 104.4 and 103.6. Stewart has led 318 laps - 14.0 percent and just behind Johnson. Junior is right there with 299 laps led. Ave Finishes of 9.4 for Smoke and 10.9 for Junior are significantly behind Johnson.
The Challenge of the Roushketeers
The two Roush-Fenway drivers who most closely chase Jimmy Johnson in the Chase are Carl Edwards and Greg Biffle. Edwards year-to-date Driver Rating is second only to Johnson at 105.4. His AMS rating is fourth at 102.8 and he has 2nd best 197 Fastest Laps Run. Carl is a two-time winner at Atlanta and is typically Roush strong on the fast mile-and-a-half tracks.
Greg Biffle has the fifth best DR - 102.3 - second best Ave Running Position and Laps in the Top 15 percentage - 9.8 and 83.4 percent - and series high 211 Fastest Laps Run. But Biffle is win-less at AMS as are Chasers Jeff Burton and Matt Kenseth (Driver Ratings - 92.8 and 94.1). But all three drivers are very capable on intermediate tracks.
Jeff Gordon has only four races left in which to claim his first win of 2008. Gordon has an amazing string of 14 straight years with at least two wins. Time is running out but Atlanta could get him started on an end of season run. He has four wins at AMS, is the sixth rated driver in the Loop Stats.
Twenty One Anyone?
Kyle Busch has twenty NASCAR major wins in 2008. It’s been awhile since he scored in the Cup Series, though he still has the third season-to-date Driver Rating at 104.2. Kyle was the winner the last time we went to Atlanta and AMS has produced plenty of sweeps over the years. Carl Edwards was the last to pull it off. But Kyle’s teammate, Denny Hamlin, claimed that the Hendrick Motorsports’ cars have an advantage on what Joe Gibbs Racing is fielding right now. I believe him.
The pick, this week is Dale Earnhardt Jr - Jimmy Johnson can’t win them all, can he? - with a dark-horse shout out to DEI’s Regan Smith.
Photo Credit: Icon Sports Media, Inc.
Ford and Chevy Wins Evenly Split at Dover
September 20, 2008
Over the last eleven races, Ford leads in manufacturer wins at Dover.
Dating back through the 2003 season, the Fords out of the Jack Roush stable have won four times. One win each for Mark Martin (2004), Greg Biffle (2005), Matt Kenseth (2006) and Carl Edwards (2007) would lead one to believe that a win in 2008 must loom on the horizon. Carl Edward’s season to this point would lead you to believe that he is the most likely to gain a win at the Monster Mile.
However, last week’s win at New Hampshire by Biffle, could make him the favorite to pull off back to back wins. Biffle’s strong outing came at the amazment of many who never saw his strong performance as possible.
Over the same four and a half year period both Dodge and Chevrolet account for three wins each. Martin Truex Jr. was the most recent winner at Dover in a Chevy for Dale Earnhardt Inc., doing so in the Spring of 2007. Richard Childress Racing’s Jeff Burton took home the victory in the Fall of 2006 and Hendrick Motorsports’ Jimmy Johnson was the winner in the Fall of 2005.
Ryan Newman holds all the wins for Dodge; sweeping the races there in 2003 and getting a third win at the fall race in 2004. The Penske Dodges were strong early in this six year sampling, but have shown nothing of late.
Looking further back into the manufacturers history at Dover, Ford and Chevrolet have won 21 and 27 times respectively. If you add in seven Mercury wins for Ford Motor Company, the two manufacturers are on an even standing. Several years in the early seventies Ford only raced under the Mercury banner, so its not too far fetched to combine the two makes. Whereas General Motors has run cars under several banners for most of their racing careers.
Pontiac has accounted for six wins, Oldsmobile two and Buick brought home three in addition to the twenty-seven for Chevrolet. Add four Richard petty wins in Plymouths and Dodges from the early seventies to the three Newman wins and you can see that Mopars haven’t been much of a factor in the history of The Monster Mile.
This years saw the first victory for Toyota at Dover with non other than Kyle Busch behind the wheel. While Busch and his Joe Gibbs Racing teammate Chasers of Tony Stewart and Denny Hamlin could be a factor on Sunday, look for Jimmy Johnson’s Chevy or Carl Edwards’ Ford to come home first.
photo credit: Icon Sports Media
Larry McReynolds Belongs ON PIT ROW
May 6, 2008
The ON PIT ROW guest line-up today is headed by a guy who belongs. Fox Sports NASCAR analyst and veteran crew chief Larry McReynolds returns to talk about last week at Richmond and the up coming Darington and Charlotte weekends.
Speaking of Richmond, we’ll talk to Dan Lowry, winner of the Crown Royal contest that made him the title sponsor of the Dan Lowry 400 at Richmond International Raceway.
Kerry Tharp, NASCAR’s Director of Competition Communications will join us as well.
Listen live starting at 5 pm EDT right here at OnPitRow.com.
Starting at 7pm, INSIDE ARCA is loaded too. Carolina 500 winner Joey Logano will tell us about his dominating victory at The Rock. This is our first chance to talk to Joey and we have plenty of questions.
Our ARCA Insider Phil Parsons will be here as will regular guest Patrick Donahue, crew chief for Eddie Sharp Racing. It was a tough weekend for ESR. We’ll ask Patrick what happened.
We get a preview of the ARCA RE/MAX Series’ race at Kentucky Speedway next Saturday with Tim Bray, Director of Communications for the Speedway.
The night of ON PIT RADIO will wind up with the ARCA Short Track Report and a visit from ARCA Lincoln Welders Truck Series’ Nick Gullatta, winner at Winchester last weekend
Join us at the Toledo Speedway Bar & Grill or tune your radio to Fox Sports Radio 1230 am in Toledo or on the net at OnPitRow.com.





