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NASCAR Fantasy Racing Experts Picks: Autism Speaks 400 at Dover

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Expert Darkhorse Picks: Autism Speaks 400 from Dover

The On Pit Row fantasy racing experts opinions of the best Sprint Cup driver currently outside the top 12 in Sprint Cup Series points, for this weekends race.

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Autism Speaks 400 from Dover Downs

Expect another physical race at “The Monster Mile” known as Dover International Speedway, one of the few tracks in NASCAR to feature a concrete surface. Dover is shorter than Darlington Raceway, but features similar banking. While the car setup will be different, a similar style of driving can be applied to both tracks and can help make a driver successful in consecutive weeks.

Chasing the pole at Dover

1. David Reutimann… Won the pole and started fifth last year at Dover.
2. Greg Biffle… Started fifth and fourth last year at Dover, won the pole and started fifth in ‘08.
3. Juan Pablo Montoya… Started third and second last year at Dover.

Here’s an explanation of the highlighted text in the rankings.

• Y! A/B/C - The top options in the Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game by driver list.
• Value play - Sneaky plays at this week’s track. Drivers to consider as low-rent salary cap options or alternatives in allocation formats.

1. Jimmie Johnson… Five-time winner (’09 sweep, 9/05, ‘02 sweep) at Dover. Led 569 of 800 laps last year, average running position of second in both races. Y!-A1
2. Jeff Gordon… Four-time winner (6/01, ‘96 sweep, 9/95) at Dover. Average running position of ninth or better in six of the last eight races at Dover, seven finishes of 12th or better. Y!-A2
3. Matt Kenseth… Won 6/06 race at Dover. Four straight Top Fives at Dover. Has never held an average running position worse than 14th. Y!-B1
4. Juan Pablo Montoya… Finished a career-best fourth in last year’s fall race at Dover. Y!-A3
5. Kurt Busch… Finished fifth in both races last year at Dover. Y!-A4
6. Ryan Newman… Three-time winner (9/04, ‘03 sweep) at Dover, average finish of 9.0 last year. Has never held an average running position worse than 13th. Y!-B2
7. Jeff Burton… Won 9/06 race at Dover. Average finish of 10.5 since ‘02 at Dover, 16 races. Y!-B3
8. Kevin Harvick… Average finish of 11.7 in the last three races at Dover. Y!-B4
9. Greg Biffle… Two-time winner (9/08, 6/05) at Dover. Has finished 13th or better in 11 straight races at Dover, led laps in eight. Average finish of 6.0 in that span.
10. Carl Edwards… Won 9/07 race at Dover. Average finish of 7.9 in 11 career starts.
11. Clint Bowyer… Average finish of 14.4 in eight career starts at Dover. Y!-B5
12. Mark Martin… Four-time winner (6/04, 9/99, 9/98, 9/97) at Dover. Seven Top Fives since ‘04 at Dover, average finish of 6.9 in that span.
13. Kyle Busch… Won 6/08 race at Dover, has not finished better than 23rd since.
14. Denny Hamlin… DNFs due to crash in two of the last four races at Dover. Held average running positions of 20th and 18th last year.
15. Tony Stewart… Two-time winner (’00 sweep) at Dover, has finished 11th or better in four of the last five races.
16. Kasey Kahne… Average finish of 7.0 in last year’s races at Dover. Y!-B6
17. Martin Truex Jr…. Won 6/07 race at Dover, finished 21st, DNF (crash) last year. Y!-B7
18. Jamie McMurray… Average finish of 16.9 in 14 career starts at Dover. Y!-B8
19. Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Won 9/01 race at Dover. Finished 12th in last year’s spring race, first Top 15 since ‘07.
20. Joey Logano… Finished 15th in last year’s spring race, DNF (crash) in the fall. Runner-up in last year’s Nationwide spring race.
21. Brad Keselowski… No career Cup starts at Dover. Average finish of 7.5 in six career Nationwide starts, won last year’s spring race.
22. David Reutimann… Average finish of 20.2 in five career starts at Dover.
23. Brian Vickers… Average finish of 20.3 since ‘07 at Dover, no Top 10s.
24. A.J. Allmendinger… Finished career-best seventh in last year’s fall race, average running position of 12th. Y!-C1
25. Paul Menard… Finished a career-best 19th in last year’s fall race at Dover, average running position of 16th. Y!-C2
26. Marcos Ambrose… Strong value play. Average finish of 17.0 last year at Dover.
27. Sam Hornish Jr…. Finished a career-best 13th in last year’s spring race at Dover, 26th in the fall. Y!-C3
28. David Ragan… Average finish of 23.1 in seven career starts at Dover.
29. Scott Speed… DNF (engine), 25th-place finish last year at Dover. Y!-C4
30. Regan Smith… Average finish of 28.0 in four career starts at Dover.
31. Bobby Labonte… Won 6/99 race at Dover. Average finish of 25.5 last year at Dover.
32. Elliott Sadler… Has finished 27th or worse in the last three races at Dover.
33. David Gilliland… Long shot value play. Average finish of 17.5 in ‘08 races at Dover, start and parked last year.
34. Casey Mears… Long shot value play. Average finish of 20.1 in 14 career starts at Dover. DNQ last week at Darlington.
35. Travis Kvapil… Finished 11th, 23rd in ‘08 races at Dover, no starts last year.
36. Kevin Conway… No career Cup starts at Dover.
37. Max Papis… No career Cup starts at Dover. Finished 16th in last year’s Truck race.
38. David Stremme… Average finish of 32.3 in six career starts at Dover, three DNFs.
39. Robby Gordon… DNFs (crash) in both races last year at Dover.
40. Dave Blaney… Likely start and park.
41. Joe Nemechek… Likely start and park.
42. Reed Sorenson… Likely start and park.
43. Michael McDowell… Likely start and park.
44. Mike Bliss… Likely start and park.
45. Todd Bodine… Likely start and park. No starts since ‘03 at Dover.
46. J.J. Yeley… Likely start and park. No Cup starts at Dover since ‘08. Team has seven DNQs this season.

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Autism Speaks 400 at Dover

Greetings On Pit Row readers,

I’m glad to be bringing a new fantasy NASCAR preview to On Pit Row. I began the season at the defunct Onebadwheel and glad to have found another ride. I’m currently last in the Expert Picks but don’t hold that against me.

The Monster Mile is a unique one-mile, concrete track with high banking. Should be a good one… assuming there is no rain. Let’s get to the ranks.

A List

1. Greg Biffle… Top-eight finishes in seven of eight Dover races. Only driver with two victories in last five years (10 starts).
2. Jeff Gordon... Most recent pole winner. Eleventh or better in 13 of 17 Dover races, four DNFs.
3. Jimmie Johnson… Fifteenth or better in 12 of 14 Dover races, two DNFs.
4. Carl Edwards… Streak of five top-three Dover finishes, led laps in all five.
5. Mark Martin… Forty-five career Dover starts, top-fives in nearly half (21).
6. Kyle Busch… Five top-fives in only eight career Dover starts.
7. Matt Kenseth... Laps led in five of six Dover races.
8. Jeff Burton… Top-14s in 13 of 14 Dover races, one DNF.
9. Clint Bowyer… Three eighth-place finishes in six career Dover starts.

B List

1. Tony Stewart… Two wins, all top-11s in first 12 career Dover starts. Zero wins, only one top-10 since.
2. Kurt Busch… Career average starting position of 10.5 at Dover but only four top-10s in 17 starts.
3. Ryan Newman… Three poles over the last 10 Dover races, but only one top-12 in the last six.
4. Martin Truex Jr…. Three top-sixes, one win in six career Dover starts.
5. David Reutimann… Three career Dover starts: 18th, 27th, 17th.
6. Jamie McMurray… Three top-10s in the last six Dover races.
7. Juan Pablo Montoya… Four career starts, two top-12s.
8. Brian Vickers… Top-20s in three of the last four Dover races.
9. Denny Hamlin… Top-11s in first three career Dover starts, 38th or worse in three starts since.
10. Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Only one top-20 over the last eight Dover races.
11. Joey Logano… Two Nationwide starts at Dover: sixth, 14th
12. Casey Mears… Twenty-fourth or better in nine straight Dover races, 17th or better in five of the last seven
13. Michael Waltrip… Two top-15s over the last three Dover races.
14. David Gilliland… Five career Dover starts, 16th and 19th last season.
15. Paul Menard… Three career Dover starts: 21st, 22nd, 21st.

C List

1. Bobby Labonte… From ‘95-’00, 10 top-fives in 12 Dover races. Over the last six races, four top-20s.
2. AJ Allmendinger… Sixteenth place finish in the September race last year, 33rd or worse in the three prior Dover starts.
3. Marcos Ambrose… One Cup start at Dover: 32nd. Four Nationwide starts: average finish 18.0
4. Sam Hornish Jr…. Two career starts: 18th, 42nd (DNF)
5. Brad Keselowski… Four Nationwide starts at Dover: one top-five, three top-10s. Career average finish: 10.2
6. Robby Gordon… Streak of four top-22 finishes, one top-10 at Dover.
7. Dave Blaney… Streak of three top-12s at Dover.

Do not start

1. Kevin Harvick… Nineteenth or worse in seven of nine Dover races.
2. David Ragan… Five career starts, 18th or better on three occasions.
3. Kasey Kahne… Ten career starts, only one top-10. Seven finishes of 21st or worse.
4. Elliott Sadler… Twenty career starts, just three top-10s despite some good qualifying runs.
5. David Stremme… Four career starts, one top-20.
6. Scott Speed… No starts at Dover. Max Papis… No starts at Dover.
7. Reed Sorenson… Two top-20s as a rookie, 26th or worse in the four races since.
8. Regan Smith… Finished 21st and 37th last season.
9. Mike Bliss… Four career starts, 31.5 average finish
10. John Andretti… One career top-10 in 21 starts.
11. Joe Nemechek… Finished in the 20s in three of the last five Dover races.
12. Scott Riggs… Fifth-place finish in his first career start, two top-20s in the next nine.
13. Tony Raines… No top-20s in 14 career Dover races.
14. J.J. Yeley… Seven career starts, career-best 24th place finish last year.
15. Todd Bodine… No starts since 2003 but finished 12th and 17th.
16. David Starr… Six starts at Dover in the truck series: one pole, one top-five, 4 top-10s. Average finish of 10.2
17. Derrike Cope… No starts since 2006, finished 37th and 43rd.

NASCAR Fantasy Experts Picks: Autism Speaks 400 from Dover

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