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NASCAR Fantasy Tool 2010 - Average Finish on Flat Tracks [Martinsville, Phoenix, Richmond]

This table is a companion for my NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview of the Lenox Industrial Tools 301 from New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Below are 33 drivers of interest and their average finish this season in the three races held on flat tracks.

	MVIL	PHX	RICH	AVG
Jeff Gordon	3	2	2	2.3
Ryan Newman	4	1	8	4.3
Carl Edwards	8	7	5	6.7
Jimmie Johnson	9	3	10	7.3
Clint Bowyer	7	9	12	9.3
Joey Logano	2	10	16	9.3
Martin Truex, Jr.	5	17	7	9.7
Kyle Busch	22	8	1	10.3
Marcos Ambrose	11	11	9	10.3
Matt Kenseth	18	6	13	12.3
Brad Keselowski	12	16	14	14.0
Denny Hamlin	1	30	11	14.0
Juan Pablo Montoya	36	5	6	15.7
Jeff Burton	20	25	4	16.3
Mark Martin	21	4	25	16.7
Kevin Harvick	35	13	3	17.0
Greg Biffle	10	22	22	18.0
Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	15	12	32	19.7
David Ragan	16	19	24	19.7
David Reutimann	28	20	15	21.0
Sam Hornish, Jr.	13	18	36	22.3
A.J. Allmendinger	38	15	17	23.3
Paul Menard	14	29	27	23.3
Tony Stewart	26	23	23	24.0
Jamie McMurray	30	24	19	24.3
Kurt Busch	23	35	18	25.3
Robby Gordon	34	14	28	25.3
Kasey Kahne	17	39	21	25.7
Regan Smith	32	26	30	29.3
Scott Speed	33	21	35	29.7
Elliott Sadler	24	31	38	31.0
Travis Kvapil	27	36	34	32.3
Kevin Conway	31	33	37	33.7

Printable NASCAR TV Schedule for May 2010

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Experts Picks: Crown Royal Heath Calhoun 400

Expert	Website	Pick to Win	Finish	Experts Avg
Josh Lobdell	FFToolbox	Denny Hamlin	11	10.50
Jerry Lagger	One and Done Game Winner	Kyle Busch	1	8.20
Dennis Michelsen	RaceTalkRadio.com	Kyle Busch	1	12.80
Tall Glass of Milk	Answerthis.com	Kyle Busch	1	12.50
Eric McClung	On Pit Row	Denny Hamlin	11	16.80
Eric McGuire	free agent	Kyle Busch	1	11.10
Dan Beaver	Fantasy Racing Games	Denny Hamin	11	9.50
Matt Mercer	On Pit Row	Denny Hamlin	11	16.50
Adam Ansell	Roto Experts	Denny Hamlin	11	13.60
Chris Leone	On Pit Row	Kyle Busch	1	13.90
Bob Ellis	NASCAR Ranting and Raving	Kyle Busch	1	11.60
CharlieTurner	On Pit Row	Denny Hamlin	11	17.80
Lou Lauer	USAR Fans	Denny Hamlin	11	14.70
Jon Rodgers	Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner	Kyle Busch	1	15.80
James Jones	On Pit Row	Jeff Gordon	2	11.50
Ryan Rantz	On Pit Row	Kevin Harvick	3	10.60
Darren Fauth	Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet	Denny Hamlin	11	14.40
P J Walsh	FantasyNASCARPreview.com	Denny Hamlin	11	12.60
Charles Rantz	ifantasyrace.com	Denny Hamlin	11	16.60

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Expert Darkhorse Picks: Crown Royal 400 at Richmond

The On Pit Row fantasy racing experts opinions of the best Sprint Cup driver currently outside the top 12 in Sprint Cup Series points, for this weekends race.

Expert	Website	Pick to Win	Finish	Experts Avg
Matt Mercer	On Pit Row	David Reutimann	15	16.80
James Jones	On Pit Row	Tony Stewart	23	10.30
Josh Lobdell	FFToolbox	Sam Hornish Jr	36	18.30
Dennis Mickelson	RaceTalkRadio.com	Tony Stewart	23	11.00
Jon Rodgers	Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner	Carl Edwards	5	10.90
Jerry Lagger Eric McGuire	One and Done Game Winner Free agent	Tony Stewart Tony Stewart	23 23	13.20 10.70
Charlie Turner	On Pit Row	Ryan Newman	8	8.40
Tall Glass of Milk	Answerthis.com	Ryan Newman	8	8.10
Adam Ansell	Roto Experts	Ryan Newman	8	8.80
Charles Rantz	ifantasyrace.com	Juan Pablo Montoya	6	10.50
Darren Fauth	Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet	Tony Stewart	23	11.80
Lou Lauer	USAR Fans	Tony Stewart	23	11.20
Ryan Rantz	On Pit Row	Tony Stewart	23	17.10
Eric McClung	On Pit Row	Tony Stewart	23	19.60
P J Walsh	FantasyNASCARPreview.com	Tony Stewart	23	11.50
Bob Ellis	NASCAR Ranting and Raving	Jamie McMurray	19	15.20
Chris Leone	On Pit Row	Joey Logano	16	23.50
Dan Beaver	Fantasy Racing Games	Joey Logano	16	10.10

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Crown Royal Presents the Heath Calhoun 400 from RIR

If there were more short, flat tracks on the schedule, especially ones in the state of Virginia, Denny Hamlin would likely have won a championship (or four) by now. Between winning earlier this season at Martinsville Speedway (where he’s always a threat) and his stellar loop data statistics at Richmond International Raceway, Hamlin tops a very short list of elite options for this weekend’s race. Join us Thursday at 7PM ET for the Fantasy NASCAR Live Chat.

Chasing the pole at Richmond

• Denny Hamlin… Won a pole in ‘08, started third in both starts last year at Richmond.
• Martin Truex Jr…. Has a started second, third and fourth in three of the last four races at Richmond.
• Mark Martin… Won a pole and started seventh last year, started second in spring race of ‘08.

Here’s an explanation of the highlighted text in the rankings.

• Y! A/B/C - The top options in the Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game by driver list.
• Value play - Sneaky plays at this week’s track. Drivers to consider as low-rent salary cap options or alternatives in allocation formats.

1. Denny Hamlin… Won 9/09 race at Richmond, average running position of fourth and first last year. Has never held an average running position worse than eighth. Has led over 145 laps in three of the last four races, at led least four laps in all eight career starts. Y!-A1
2. Kyle Busch… Won 5/09 race at Richmond, eight Top Fives in 10 career starts. Has never held an average running position worse than 15th. Y!-A2
3. Jeff Gordon… Two-time winner (9/00, 3/96) at Richmond, six straight Top 10 finishes. Had led over 90 laps in four of the last six races. Average running position of fourth and third last year. Y!-A3
4. Jimmie Johnson… Three-time winner (9/08, ’07 sweep) at Richmond, finished 36th and 11th last year. Y!-A4
5. Kevin Harvick… Won 9/06 race at Richmond, nine Top 10 finishes in 10 starts since ‘05. Y!-B1
6. Tony Stewart… Three-time winner (5/02, 5/01, 9/99) at Richmond, nine Top 10s in the last 12 races at Richmond– runner-up four times.
7. Clint Bowyer… Won 4/08 race at Richmond, average finish of 10.0 in eight career starts. Y!-B2
8. Mark Martin… Won 2/90 race at Richmond, four straight Top Fives.
9. Kurt Busch… Won 9/05 race at Richmond, finished 12th or better in three straight starts at Richmond, runner-up last fall. Average running position of sixth and fifth last year.
10. Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Three-time winner (5/06, 5/04, 5/00) at Richmond, average finish of 12.3 in 21 career starts. Finished 27th, 21st last year at Richmond. Y!-B3
11. Jeff Burton… Won 9/98 race at Richmond, average finish of 14.7 in 31 career starts. Y!-B4
12. Ryan Newman… Won 9/03 race at Richmond, Top 10s in six straight spring races. Y!-B5
13. Carl Edwards… Three Top 15 finishes in the last four starts at Richmond.
14. Greg Biffle… Finished 14th in both ‘08 race at Richmond, 17th and 13th last year.
15. Juan Pablo Montoya… Finished 10th and 19th last year at Richmond, only Top 20s six career starts.
16. Matt Kenseth… Won 9/02 race at Richmond, average running position of 21st or worse in four straight starts. Y!-B6
17. Kasey Kahne… Won 5/05 race at Richmond, only one Top 10 since ‘08. Finished 12th in last year’s fall race. Y!-B7
18. Joey Logano… Average running position of 17th and 18th last year at Richmond. Y!-B8
19. Brad Keselowski… Started ninth, DNF (engine) last year at Richmond, first career Cup start.
20. Jamie McMurray… Finished seventh in last year’s spring race at Richmond– first Top 15 since ‘05.
21. Brian Vickers… Finished 15th and a career-best seven last year at Richmond. Only two Top 10 finishes in 11 career starts.
22. David Reutimann… Average running position of 20th or better in five straight races at Richmond.
23. Marcos Ambrose… Finished 11th and 22nd last year at Richmond.
24. Sam Hornish Jr…. Strong value play. Finished sixth and eighth last year at Richmond, held an average running position of 13th in both races. Y!-C1
25. A.J. Allmendinger… Average running position of 15th in fall race, finished 23rd. Y!-C2
26. Paul Menard… Average finish of 27.5 in six career starts at Richmond. Y!-C3
27. Martin Truex Jr…. Finished 22nd in last year’s spring race at Richmond, DNF (crash) in the fall.
28. Scott Speed… Finished 33rd and 36th last year at Richmond. Y!-C4
29. Regan Smith… Finished 21st and 23rd in ‘08 at Richmond, DNF (crash) last year.
30. Travis Kvapil… Long shot value play. Finished 16th and 17th in 2008 at Richmond, no starts last year.
31. David Ragan… Finished 23rd and 33rd last year at Richmond.
32. Elliott Sadler… Only one Top 10 in 22 career starts at Richmond. Only one Top 20 since ‘07.
33. David Gilliland… Finished 24th in last year’s fall race at Richmond.
34. Robby Gordon… Average finish of 29.7 in 19 career starts at Richmond.
35. David Stremme… DNF (crash) and 26th-place finish last year at Richmond.
36. Bobby Labonte… Finished 31st in both races last year at Richmond.
37. Reed Sorenson… Finished 20th and 16th last year at Richmond.
38. Max Papis… Finished 37th in last year’s fall race, only career Cup start at Richmond.
39. Kevin Conway… No career Cup starts at Richmond.
40. TBA… Tommy Baldwin Racing has not named a driver yet.
41. Joe Nemechek… Likely start and park. Won 5/03 race at Richmond.
42. Michael McDowell… Likely start and park.
43. Dave Blaney… Likely start and park.
44. Mike Bliss… Likely start and park.
45. Terry Cook… No career Cup starts at Richmond. Seven DNQs this season.
46. Tony Raines… Average finish of 31.7 in nine career starts at Richmond. First race for Gunselman Motorsports this season. 11 DNQs last year, park and started.

Contender Or Pretender: Richmond

Kevin Harvick (Contender) - The Talladega winner is always a contender at Richmond. When Harvick’s hot and things are going his way he’s nearly as dangerous as Jimmie Johnson. Over the last 5 years at Richmond Harvick has spent more laps racing in the top 15 than any other driver in the series. Drivers don’t spend the most laps in the top 15 and not be competitive. Harvick has also finished in the top 10 at Richmond in 9 out of the last 10 races.

Jimmie Johnson (Pretender) - Jimmie Johnson has won 3 out of the last 6 races at Richmond, but that’s not really telling the full story. Besides those three wins Jimmie Johnson only has one other top ten finish at Richmond. Four top tens in sixteen races is enough to scare me away. If you’re a loop data fan then his 19.9 mid race average, 18.0 average finish, and 17.6 average running position should scare you off.

Kyle Busch (Contender) - Over the last ten Richmond races nobody has outscored Kyle Busch. Every week Kyle Busch is getting closer and closer to victory lane. He’s the defending race champion and he also has the best average finish here (6.0). In eight of the last ten Richmond races Kyle Busch has finished in the top 5.

Greg Biffle (Pretender) - Remember how competitive Greg Biffle was at Phoenix? I don’t remember seeing him in the race so that should tell you something. His 22nd place Phoenix finish should give you enough warning not to use him. For whatever reason this particular type of track is not a good place for Fords. The last time Greg Biffle even finished in the top ten at Richmond was back in 2006.

Denny Hamlin (Contender) - Richmond has always been a good track for Denny Hamlin ever since his rookie year. Before his first career race at Richmond Denny Hamlin injured his hand and 19 stitches were required. Hamlin then went on to finish second in that race. I believe this was really the turning point in his early career. After this incident Hamlin became much more competitive on the track. Also besides this little Hamlin history lesson lets not forget that he won here last fall and had the dominant car in the spring race.

Brian Vickers (Pretender) - Brian Vickers finished in the top ten in his first career race at Richmond and he finished in the top ten the last time the series visited this track. The bad news here is that those are his only top tens here. His average finish excluding his first visit here and his last visit here is …… 30th. Do you think you could stomach using him here?

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: DirecTV Head2Head Knockout

FOX Sports.com is hosting the DirecTV Head2Head Knockout, a bracket that pits 28 of the best NASCAR Sprint Cup drivers against each other. Registration ends April 18th, 3:00PM ET. I’ve put together a preview of all the first round matchups, my Fastest Four selections, my championship pick and a peak at my entire bracket.

• Round 1 - Texas Motor Speedway
• Round 2 - Talladega Superspeedway
• Round 3 - Richmond International Raceway
• Fastest Four - Darlington Raceway

Turn 1

• Kurt Busch (1) vs. Elliot Sadler (8) – Busch finished eighth, first last year at Texas.
• Kyle Busch (4) vs. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. (5) – Neither one had a Top 10 last year at Texas, but Busch was much better on intermediate tracks.
• Carl Edwards (3) vs. Paul Menard (6) - *Possible upset* Menard finished fifth at Atlanta (a similar 1.5 mile, 24 degree-banked track) earlier this year. 4/09 race at Texas: Edwards 10th, Menard 13th.
• Denny Hamlin (2) vs. Brad Keselowski (7) - *Possible upset* Hamlin’s knee is still an uncertain. Keselowski was running in the Top Six before getting wrecked by Edwards at Atlanta.

Turn 2

• Mark Martin (1) vs. David Ragan (8) – Martin finished sixth, fourth last year at Texas.
• Joey Logano (4) vs. Jamie McMurray (5) – 2009 finishes at Texas… Logano: 30th, 19th. McMurray: 38th, 20th.
• Jeff Burton (3) vs. Martin Truex, Jr. (6) – Burton finished ninth in both races last year at Texas.
• Tony Stewart (2) vs. A.J. Allmendinger (7) – *Possible upset* Stewart finished fourth, sixth last year at Texas. Allmendinger finished sixth at Atlanta earlier this season.

Turn 3

• Jimmie Johnson (1) vs. Regan Smith (8)
• Brian Vickers (4) vs. Juan Pablo Montoya (5) – Montoya finished third at Atlanta, Vickers finished seventh.
• Kevin Harvick (3) vs. Marcos Ambrose (6) - Harvick finished ninth at Atlanta, Ambrose finished 11th.
• Greg Biffle (2) vs. Sam Hornish, Jr. (7) – Biffle finished third, eighth last year at Texas.

Turn 4

• Jeff Gordon (1) vs. Bobby Labonte (8)
• Kasey Kahne (4) vs. Ryan Newman (5) - 2009 finishes at Texas… Kahne: 19th, 33rd. Newman: 15th, 12th.
• Clint Bowyer (3) vs. David Reutimann (6) - *Possible upset* 2009 finishes at Texas… Bowyer: 23rd, 22nd. Reutimann: 11th, 16th.
• Matt Kenseth (2) vs. Scott Speed (7) – Kenseth finished second at Atlanta, two Top Fives last year at Texas. Speed finished 10th at Atlanta.

Fastest Four picks

• Turn 1 – Kyle Busch: It has been a rough season for Rowdy, but if he advances past Talladega I don’t see anyone in this bracket outdoing him at Richmond.
• Turn 2 – Tony Stewart: Smoke is great at Talladega and Richmond. I have Mark Martin, the number one seed, going down in round two since he crashed in both races at Talladega last year.
• Turn 3 – Jimmie Johnson: If Montoya was a better plate racer I would be tempted to have Johnson fall in round two. Don’t count me among the surprised if it does indeed happen.
• Turn 4 – Jeff Gordon: Consistency at Richmond is what makes Gordon the favorite in this bracket. All of the other top seeds have shaky recent history at Talladega, which could blow up this entire part of the bracket.

Champion – Jeff Gordon: The final matchup at Darlington pits all of the Fastest Four against each other. Gordon and Johnson have ridiculously good numbers there. After reviewing loop data numbers, I’m going with Gordon for a couple of reasons. Since loop data was introduced in 2005, Gordon has met or exceeded Johnson in percentage of laps in the Top 15 at Darlington in all five races. In that span, Gordon’s average driver rating (114.4) is better than Johnson (112.1). Finally, Gordon has topped 111.0 driver rating in all five races at Darlington; Johnson has been below 100.0 in each of the last two races there.

• View my entire bracket here.

2009 Average Finish at Flat Tracks - Martinsville, Phoenix, Richmond, New Hampshire

This table is a companion for my NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview of the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Phoenix International Raceway. Below are 24 drivers of fantasy interest and their average finish this season at four flat tracks: Martinsville Speedway, Phoenix, Richmond International Raceway and New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

The four flat tracks vary in length but do feature similar banking. Over the last nine races this season, three have been on flat tracks: Richmond is a little shorter (0.75 miles) and banked 14 degrees; New Hampshire is a little longer (1.06 miles) and most recently, Martinsville which is much shorter (0.53 miles) both are banked 12 degrees. Phoenix is 1.00 miles and banked 11 degrees and held its first race in April, the eighth race of the season.

	MVILLE 1	PHX	Rich 1	NH 1	RICH 2	NH 2	MVILLE2	AVG
Mark Martin	7	1	5	14	4	1	8	5.7
Denny Hamlin	2	6	14	15	1	2	1	5.9
Tony Stewart	3	2	2	5	17	14	9	7.4
Kurt Busch	18	3	12	3	2	6	17	8.7
Jeff Gordon	4	25	8	2	3	15	5	8.9
Kyle Busch	24	17	1	7	5	5	4	9
Jimmie Johnson	1	4	36	9	11	4	2	9.6
Ryan Newman	6	16	4	29	10	7	7	11.3
Juan Pablo Montoya	12	24	10	12	19	3	3	11.9
Clint Bowyer	5	26	18	20	6	10	19	14.9
David Reutimann	20	8	28	4	20	12	16	15.4
Jamie McMurray	10	11	7	33	27	18	6	16.0
Jeff Burton	15	15	3	31	18	16	15	16.1
Greg Biffle	28	5	17	18	13	9	25	16.4
Joey Lagano	32	21	19	1	14	21	12	17.1
Casey Mears	21	20	9	11	30	13	18	17.4
Brian Vickers	33	19	15	35	7	11	11	18.7
Marcos Ambrose	14	14	11	23	22	20	27	18.7
Carl Edwards	26	10	26	19	15	17	20	19.0
Sam Hornish, Jr.	34	9	6	8	8	37	36	19.7
Matt Kenseth	23	27	13	22	25	23	14	21.0
Kasey Kahne	19	13	29	10	12	38	32	21.9
Kevin Harvick	11	30	34	34	9	32	10	22.9
Dale Earnhardt Jr.	8	31	27	13	21	35	29	23.4

NASCAR Fantasy Experts Picks: Chevy Rock n Roll 400 at Richmond

Expert	Website	Pick to Win	Finish	Experts Avg
James Jones	On Pit Row	Tony Stewart	17	7.72
Ryan Rantz	On Pit Row	Denny Hamlin	1	7.80
Roger Rotter	FOX Sports	Mark Martin	4	10.68
Mike Harmon	FOX Sports	Jimmie Johnson	11	10.92
Gerritt Ritt	RaceTalkRadio.com	Denny Hamlin	1	10.96
Dennis Michelson	RaceTalkRadio.com	Tony Stewart	17	11.24
Yahoo Users	Yahoo! Sports	Jimmie Johnson	11	11.96
Cheryl Lauer	Speed Couch	Jimmie Johnson	11	12.00
Lou Lauer	USAR Fans	Jimmie Johnson	11	12.44
Eric Brewer		Denny Hamlin	1	13.12
Charlie Turner	On Pit Row	Kyle Busch	5	13.20
Darren Fauth	Fantasy NASCAR Names	Tony Stewart	17	13.24
Eric McClung	On Pit Row	Kyle Busch	5	13.88
P J Walsh	FantasyNASCARPreview.com	Kyle Busch	5	14.68
Eric McGuire	FFToolbox	Denny Hamlin	1	15.48
Bob Ellis	NASCAR Ranting and Raving	Brian Vickers	7	17.12
Jon Rodgers	Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner	David Ragan	33	18.76

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Chevy Rock n Roll 400 from Richmond

Greetings On Pit Row readers.

The popular Richmond International Raceway is a flat, 3/4-mile D-shaped track. Its configuration is most similar New Hampshire, Martinsville and Phoenix. For fantasy purposes, the most recent races at these flat tracks were several months so do not take much stock on those results. However, all three of these tracks will hold Chase events; be mindful of the outcome of this week’s race as you look ahead to setting your fantasy lineups over the coming weeks.

As I mentioned on this week’s On Pit Row, I fully expect a strong performance from Kyle Busch. His Chase birth will come at the expense of the man of the bubble, Matt Kenseth. Ky le Busch dominates at Richmond, Kenseth was mediocre in the May race, much like he has been over the past several races.

The wild card is Brian Vickers, who has scored the most points over the last six races. But Vickers has never finished better than 24th in Richmond races in which he has not started from the pole.
Good luck this week and please leave your comments below.

Here’s an explanation of the highlighted text in the rankings.  Download a printer-friendly version here.

• Y! A/B/C - The top options in the Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game by driver list.
• Strong qualifier - History of winning poles or qualifying inside the top-five.
• Good qualifier - History of qualifying inside the top-10.
• Value play - Good recent history at this week’s track. Drivers to consider as low-rent salary cap options or alternative options in allocation formats.

1. Jimmie Johnson… Strong qualifier. Last five Richmond races: three wins (started in fourth or better in each), 30th or worse in the other two (started 12th and 15th). Three-time winner (’07 sweep, won last year’s Chevy Rock & Roll 400) Y!-A1
2. Tony Stewart… Runner-up in May and in three of the last four Richmond races. Enters with a streak of 11 straight top-20 finishes at Richmond, average finish of 6.7 in that span. Three-time winnner (’99, ‘01, ‘02) Y!-B1
3. Kyle Busch… Average finish of 6.1 in nine career starts at Richmond, seven top-five finishes. Won in May, runner-up on three occasions. Y!-A2
4. Mark Martin… Average finish of 4.3 in the last three Richmond races. Won in ‘90. Y!-A3
5. Denny Hamlin… Strong qualifier. Seven career Richmond races: 4.9 average start, 9.6 average finish, led laps in all seven. Only one finish worse than 15th. Y!-B2
6. Jeff Gordon… Good qualifier. Enters with a streak of five top-10 finishes at Richmond, average finish of 6.6 in that span. Led laps in four of those five races. As started in the top-three in four of the last six Richmond races. Two-time winner (’96, ‘00) Y!-A4
7. Kasey Kahne… Started 18th, finished 19th in May. Average finish of 14.5 last year at Richmond. Won from the pole in ‘05. Y!-B3
8. Ryan Newman… Won 9/03 but average finish of 19.2 in the last five September races at Richmond– but average finish of 6.0 in six May races. Y!-B4
9. Kurt Busch… Started 17th, finished 12th in May. Finished 19th last year, DNF 5/08. Average finish of 7.0 in ‘07 at Richmond. Won in ‘05. Y!-B5
10. Brian Vickers… Won the pole in May, finished 15th. Won the pole as a rookie in ‘04, finished eighth– zero finishes better than 24th in eight races in between. Y!-B6
11. Greg Biffle… Finished 17th in May, 14th in both ‘08 races.
12. Juan Pablo Montoya… Finished a career best 10th in May. Average finish of 32.3 in four other career starts at Richmond. Y!-B7
13. Matt Kenseth… Finished 13th in May, 38th and 39th last year. Average finish of 12.0 in ‘07 races. Won in ‘02.
14. Clint Bowyer… Finished 18th in May. Won last May, finished 12th last September. Average finish of 10.6 in seven career starts.
15. Kevin Harvick… Strong value play. Finished 34th in May, snapping a streak of nine finishes of 12th or better. Average finish of 6.6 in that span. Won in ‘06.
16. Carl Edwards… Risky play. Started 37th, finished 26th in May. Average finish of 10.0 last year at Richmond.
17. David Reutimann… Finished a career-best ninth last year, led 104 laps. Started ninth, finished 28th in May. Y!-B8
18. Marcos Ambrose… Started 21st, finished 11th in May, first career start at Richmond. Finished 13th in last year’s September Nationwide race at Richmond. Y!-C1
19. Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Started 25th, finished 27th in May. Average finish of 9.6 last year at Richmond, led laps in each. Won in ‘06.
20. Joey Logano… Started 13th, finished 19th in May, first career start at Richmond. Average start of 2.5, finish of 6.5 in two Nationwide races at Richmond last year.
21. Sam Hornish Jr…. Weak play value. Finished a career-best sixth at Richmond in May. Average finish of 30.5 in ‘08 races. Seven IndyCar starts: two wins, 7.7 average finish. Y!-C2
22. Brad Keselowski… No career Cup starts at Richmond. Average finish of 24.5 in six Nationwide races, career-best fourth in May race. Y!-C3
23. Jeff Burton… Finished third in May. Average finish of 6.6 in last three Richmond races, started fifth in two straight. Career average finish of 14.6 in 30 career starts. Won in ‘98.
24. Casey Mears… Started 41st, finished a career best ninth in May. Last seven Richmond races: average finish of 13.8, excluding an accident last year.
25. Martin Truex Jr…. Started fourth, finished 22nd in May. Average finish of 10.5 last year at Richmond.
26. Jamie McMurray… Finished a career best seventh in May, 29th last year at Richmond. Did not finish on the lead lap in six races prior.
27. Bobby Labonte… Average finish of 19.2 over last five races at Richmond. Y!-C4
28. Reed Sorenson… Average finish of 21.1 in seven career starts at Richmond.
29. Regan Smith… Did not start May race. Average finish of 22.0 last year, first two career starts at Richmond.
30. David Ragan… Finished third at Richmond as a rookie (9/07), average finish of 24.0 in the three races since.
31. Patrick Carpentier… Did not start May race. DNF (accident) and 25-place finish last year, first two career starts at Richmond. Started fourth, finished third in ‘05 IndyCar race.
32. Max Papis… No career Cup starts at Richmond. Finished ninth (out of 12) in ‘05 IROC race.
33. AJ Allmendinger… Five career starts at Richmond: 31.6 average finish, zero top-20 finishes.
34. Elliott Sadler… Average finish of 27.2 in the last five Richmond races.
35. Robby Gordon… 19 career starts at Richmond: 29.7 average finish, only two finishes on the lead lap.
36. David Stremme… Started 11th, DNF in May. Average finish of 28.0 in seven career starts at Richmond.
37. Michael Waltrip… Average finish of 30.2 over last five races at Richmond.
38. Paul Menard… Average finish of 31.6 over last three races at Richmond.
39. John Andretti… Finished 32nd in May, first Richmond start since ‘07.
40. Scott Speed… Started eighth, finished 33rd in May, first career start at Richmond. Finished 27th in the Nationwide race.
41. Joe Nemechek… Average finish of 36.3 over last three races at Richmond.
42. Mike Bliss… Started sixth, finished 37th in May.
43. Tony Raines… Started 43rd, finished 41st in May.
44. Dave Blaney… DNF (accident) after eight laps in May.

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