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NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway

by Eric McClung, Special To NASCAR news, NASCAR statistics, NASCAR commentary On Pit Row

Follow @ericmcclung on Twitter for NASCAR, IndyCar, golf and various other fantasy sports picks.

March 16, 2010 8:36 pm CDT 2 Comments

NASCAR’s amphitheatre, Bristol Motor Speedway, is known for aggressive driving and carnage on the race track. However, the resurfacing in 2007 added variable banking, opening up room but dialed down the beating and banging. The SAFER barrier has been extended, narrowing Turns Two and Four by nearly three feet, so perhaps some of the physicality may return. This is the first race on a short track this season, so the results over the past few weeks on intermediates carry some momentum, but little else.

Chasing the pole at Bristol Motor Speedway

1. Mark Martin… Swept the poles last year at Bristol.
2. Greg Biffle… Started fourth and second last year at Bristol.
3. Dave Blaney… Started eighth and fourth last year at Bristol.

Here’s an explanation of the highlighted text in the rankings.

Y! A/B/C - The top options in the Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game by driver list.

Value play - Sneaky plays at this week’s track. Drivers to consider as low-rent salary cap options or alternatives in allocation formats.

1. Kyle Busch… Three-time winner at Bristol (’09 sweep, 3/07), has led 57.3 percent of the laps in the last three races– at least one lap led in eight straight. Y!-A1
2. Mark Martin… Two-time winner at Bristol (8/98, 8/93), average finish of 4.0 last year at Bristol– 12.4 in 42 career starts. Y!-A2
3. Matt Kenseth… Two-time winner at Bristol (8/06, 8/05), three Top 10s in the last four starts at BMS. Y!-B2
4. Greg Biffle… Average finish of 7.5 in ‘07 and ‘08 at Bristol, DNF (engine) and fourth last year. Y!-A3
5. Jimmie Johnson… Average finish of 21.2 from ‘05-’08 at Bristol, 5.5 in ‘09- led over 80 laps in both. Y!-A4
6. Kevin Harvick… Won 4/05 race at Bristol. Average finish of 3.0 in ‘08 at Bristol, 34.0 last year. Y!-B3
7. Denny Hamlin… Average finish of 4.0 from ‘08-’09 at Bristol.
8. Jeff Gordon… Five-time winner at Bristol (8/02, 3/98, 4/97, 3/96, 4/95), average finish of 10.8 (two Top Fives) from ‘08-’09 at Bristol.
9. Clint Bowyer… Average finish of 5.3 from ‘07-’08 at Bristol, 17.0 last year. Y!-B4
10. Kasey Kahne… Last five races at Bristol: two Top Fives, three Top 10s. Y!-B5
11. Juan Pablo Montoya… Finished a career-best ninth in last year’s March race at Bristol.
12. Jeff Burton… Won 3/08 race at Bristol, finished eighth and 18th last year. Y!-B6
13. Kurt Busch… Five-time winner at Bristol (3/06, 3/04, ‘03 sweep, 3/02), average finish of 11.3 in ‘08 and ‘09.
14. Tony Stewart… Won 8/01 race at Bristol. Average finish of 11.0 in ‘08 Bristol races, 25.0 last year.
15. Ryan Newman… Last five Bristol races: four finishes of six or seventh place. Y!-B7
16. Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Won 8/04 race at Bristol, average finish of 11.6 in 20 career starts. Y!-B8
17. Marcos Ambrose… Strong value play. Average finish of 6.5 in two career starts at Bristol.
18. Carl Edwards… Two-time winner at Bristol (8/08, 8/07), average finish of 15.5 last year.
19. David Reutimann… Average finish of 22.5 in ‘08 Bristol races, 14.5 in ‘09.
20. Scott Speed… Strong value play. Started third, finished 15th in last year’s August race at Bristol. Y!-C1
21. Brad Keselowski… Weak value play. No career Cup starts at Bristol. Average finish of 11.3 in six career N’wide starts, won 8/08 race.
22. Joey Logano… Weak value play. Average finish of 12.5 in two career starts at Bristol. Average finish of 12.5 in two career N’wide starts.
23. Brian Vickers… Tied a career-best 12th in last year’s August race at Bristol, average finish of 24.7 in 11 career starts.
24. Jamie McMurray… Average finish of 40.0 in the last two March races at Bristol, 11.5 in August.
25. A.J. Allmendinger… Average finish of 32.4 in five career starts at Bristol, career-best 16th in last year’s March race. Y!-C2
26. Paul Menard… Average finish of 24.2 in five career starts at Bristol, no Top 10s. Y!-C3
27. Martin Truex Jr…. Average finish of 25.0 in eight career starts at Bristol, no Top 10s. Average running of position of 10th in 8/09 race.
28. David Ragan… Average finish of 24.0 in the last two March races at Bristol, 12.0 in August.
29. Elliott Sadler… Won 3/01 race at Bristol, average finish of 25.5 since ‘07.
30. Regan Smith… Long shot value play. Average finish of 23.0 in four career starts at Bristol.
31. Sam Hornish Jr…. Average finish of 33.0 in four career starts at Bristol. Y!-C4
32. Travis Kvapil… Average finish of 23.0 in three starts from ‘08-’09.
33. Michael Waltrip… Sub for Michael McDowell. Average finish of 27.8 since ‘07 at Bristol.
34. Robby Gordon… Average finish of 29.0 from ‘08-’09 at Bristol.
35. Bobby Labonte… Average finish of 29.8 from ‘08-’09 at Bristol.
36. David Gilliland… Average finish of 31.0 in seven career starts at Bristol.
37. Mike Bliss… No Cup starts at Bristol since ‘07. Average finish of 18.2 in 11 career N’wide starts.
38. David Stremme… Sub for Boris Said. Average finish of 13.5 in ‘07 races at Bristol, no starts in ‘08, 19.5 in ‘09.
39. Max Papis… No career Cup starts at Bristol. Finished 28th in last year’s Truck race.
40. Kevin Conway… No career Cup starts at Bristol.
41. Aric Almirola… Likely start and park. Has failed to qualify for two races this season. Average finish of 23.0 in five career starts at Bristol. Finished sixth in last year’s Truck race.
42. Dave Blaney… Likely start and park.
43. Joe Nemechek… Likely start and park.
44. Casey Mears… Has failed to qualify for all four races this season.
45. Terry Cook… Has failed to qualify for all four races this season.

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