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NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Autism Speaks 400 at Dover

by Eric McClung, Special To NASCAR news, fantasy racing advice and statistics On Pit Row

Follow @ericmcclung on Twitter for NASCAR, IndyCar, golf and various other fantasy sports picks.

May 27, 2009 11:32 pm CDT 4 Comments

Greetings On Pit Row readers,

I’m glad to be bringing a new fantasy NASCAR preview to On Pit Row. I began the season at the defunct Onebadwheel and glad to have found another ride. I’m currently last in the Expert Picks but don’t hold that against me.

The Monster Mile is a unique one-mile, concrete track with high banking. Should be a good one… assuming there is no rain. Let’s get to the ranks.

A List

1. Greg Biffle… Top-eight finishes in seven of eight Dover races. Only driver with two victories in last five years (10 starts).
2. Jeff Gordon... Most recent pole winner. Eleventh or better in 13 of 17 Dover races, four DNFs.
3. Jimmie Johnson… Fifteenth or better in 12 of 14 Dover races, two DNFs.
4. Carl Edwards… Streak of five top-three Dover finishes, led laps in all five.
5. Mark Martin… Forty-five career Dover starts, top-fives in nearly half (21).
6. Kyle Busch… Five top-fives in only eight career Dover starts.
7. Matt Kenseth... Laps led in five of six Dover races.
8. Jeff Burton… Top-14s in 13 of 14 Dover races, one DNF.
9. Clint Bowyer… Three eighth-place finishes in six career Dover starts.

B List

1. Tony Stewart… Two wins, all top-11s in first 12 career Dover starts. Zero wins, only one top-10 since.
2. Kurt Busch… Career average starting position of 10.5 at Dover but only four top-10s in 17 starts.
3. Ryan Newman… Three poles over the last 10 Dover races, but only one top-12 in the last six.
4. Martin Truex Jr…. Three top-sixes, one win in six career Dover starts.
5. David Reutimann… Three career Dover starts: 18th, 27th, 17th.
6. Jamie McMurray… Three top-10s in the last six Dover races.
7. Juan Pablo Montoya… Four career starts, two top-12s.
8. Brian Vickers… Top-20s in three of the last four Dover races.
9. Denny Hamlin… Top-11s in first three career Dover starts, 38th or worse in three starts since.
10. Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Only one top-20 over the last eight Dover races.
11. Joey Logano… Two Nationwide starts at Dover: sixth, 14th
12. Casey Mears… Twenty-fourth or better in nine straight Dover races, 17th or better in five of the last seven
13. Michael Waltrip… Two top-15s over the last three Dover races.
14. David Gilliland… Five career Dover starts, 16th and 19th last season.
15. Paul Menard… Three career Dover starts: 21st, 22nd, 21st.

C List

1. Bobby Labonte… From ‘95-’00, 10 top-fives in 12 Dover races. Over the last six races, four top-20s.
2. AJ Allmendinger… Sixteenth place finish in the September race last year, 33rd or worse in the three prior Dover starts.
3. Marcos Ambrose… One Cup start at Dover: 32nd. Four Nationwide starts: average finish 18.0
4. Sam Hornish Jr…. Two career starts: 18th, 42nd (DNF)
5. Brad Keselowski… Four Nationwide starts at Dover: one top-five, three top-10s. Career average finish: 10.2
6. Robby Gordon… Streak of four top-22 finishes, one top-10 at Dover.
7. Dave Blaney… Streak of three top-12s at Dover.

Do not start

1. Kevin Harvick… Nineteenth or worse in seven of nine Dover races.
2. David Ragan… Five career starts, 18th or better on three occasions.
3. Kasey Kahne… Ten career starts, only one top-10. Seven finishes of 21st or worse.
4. Elliott Sadler… Twenty career starts, just three top-10s despite some good qualifying runs.
5. David Stremme… Four career starts, one top-20.
6. Scott Speed… No starts at Dover. Max Papis… No starts at Dover.
7. Reed Sorenson… Two top-20s as a rookie, 26th or worse in the four races since.
8. Regan Smith… Finished 21st and 37th last season.
9. Mike Bliss… Four career starts, 31.5 average finish
10. John Andretti… One career top-10 in 21 starts.
11. Joe Nemechek… Finished in the 20s in three of the last five Dover races.
12. Scott Riggs… Fifth-place finish in his first career start, two top-20s in the next nine.
13. Tony Raines… No top-20s in 14 career Dover races.
14. J.J. Yeley… Seven career starts, career-best 24th place finish last year.
15. Todd Bodine… No starts since 2003 but finished 12th and 17th.
16. David Starr… Six starts at Dover in the truck series: one pole, one top-five, 4 top-10s. Average finish of 10.2
17. Derrike Cope… No starts since 2006, finished 37th and 43rd.

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