NASCAR Fantasy Racing Experts Picks: Bank of America 500 at Charlotte

October 13, 2010

Expert Website Pick to Win Finish Experts Avg
Josh Lobdell FFToolbox Jimmie Johnson 3 15.00
Jerry Lagger One and Done Game Winner Jimmie Johnson 3 10.68
Dennis Michelsen RaceTalkRadio.com Jimmie Johnson 3 10.68
Tall Glass of Milk Answerthis.com Carl Edwards 12 12.26
Eric McClung On Pit Row Jimmie Johnson 3 13.19
Eric McGuire free agent Jimmie Johnson 3 10.90
Dan Beaver Fantasy Racing Games Kyle Busch 2 10.68
Matt Mercer On Pit Row Jeff Gordon 23 13.71
Adam Ansell Roto Experts Kurt Busch 30 14.55  
Chris Leone On Pit Row Jimmie Johnson 3 11.23
Bob Ellis NASCAR Ranting and Raving Jimmie Johnson 3 9.55
CharlieTurner On Pit Row Jimmie Johnson 3 14.84
Lou Lauer USAR Fans Jimmie Johnson 3 12.39
Jon Rodgers Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner Kyle Busch 2 12.90
James Jones On Pit Row Kurt Busch 30 14.06
Ryan Rantz On Pit Row Kyle Busch 3 11.45
Darren Fauth Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet Kurt Busch 30 12.61
P J Walsh FantasyNASCARPreview.com Tony Stewart 21 12.10
Charles Rantz ifantasyrace.com Kasey Kahne 38 15.77

Contender or Pretender: Charlotte 2

October 12, 2010

Jimmie Johnson (Contender) – This track isn’t called Lowes anymore but this is still Jimmie Johnson’s house. Johnson is the defending champion of this race and in the last five years he’s only finished outside the top thirteen once, and that was because of a blown motor. You also can’t count out his Chase performance intangible that he brings to the table every week.

Juan Pablo Montoya (Pretender) – Montoya is a very good racer, but bad things happen to him all to often. At Charlotte Montoya needs to find a four-leaf clover or something because this track has been particularly rough on him. In seven starts Montoya has only finished inside the top ten once. The bigger problem is that his next best finish is 28th.

Kyle Busch (Contender) – His championship hopes are now over so look for Kyle to do two things in the remaining races.

  1. Win
  2. Wreck Reutimann, it’s not over. The new Kyle Busch talk is a scam.

In the last four Charlotte races Kyle Busch has been phenomenal. He has the best average finish (5.3) and he has the best average running position (7.3) in the series. I expect Kyle to start racing even more aggressively every week because wins are now this teams only goal.

Denny Hamlin (Pretender) – It’s hard for me to take Denny’s championship hopes seriously when Jimmie Johnson is beating him week after week. At Charlotte Motor Speedway Denny Hamlin’s best finish is his first finish (8th in 2005). His last top ten at Charlotte was back in 2007 and that was a ninth place finish. Since then his average finish is 22.2 and this number isn’t DNF skewed (only one over this time period).

Kurt Busch (Contender) – Kurt Busch won the Coca Cola 600 and the All-Star race at Charlotte earlier this year. He’s also been extremely strong all season long on similar tracks (Atlanta, Charlotte and Texas). Between Atlanta, Charlotte and Texas the worst Busch has finished on any of these tracks this season is sixth, and his average finish is 3rd.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. (Pretender) -Maybe this is cherry picking a little (OK a lot), but I have all the confidence in the world Junior will go up to the high line early and knock the wall down. His average finish in the last four Charlotte races is 34th.

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Experts Picks: Pepsi Max 400 at Auto Club Speedway

October 6, 2010

Expert Website Pick to Win Finish Experts Avg
Josh Lobdell FFToolbox Jimmie Johnson 15.40
Jerry Lagger One and Done Game Winner Jimmie Johnson 10.93
Dennis Michelsen RaceTalkRadio.com Greg Biffle 41  10.93
Tall Glass of Milk Answerthis.com Jimmie Johnson 12.27
Eric McClung On Pit Row Jimmie Johnson 13.53
Eric McGuire free agent Jimmie Johnson 11.17
Dan Beaver Fantasy Racing Games Carl Edwards 34  10.97
Matt Mercer On Pit Row Jeff Gordon 13.40
Adam Ansell Roto Experts Jimmie Johnson 14.03  
Chris Leone On Pit Row Kyle Busch 35  11.50
Bob Ellis NASCAR Ranting and Raving Jimmie Johnson 9.77
CharlieTurner On Pit Row Jimmie Johnson 15.23
Lou Lauer USAR Fans Jimmie Johnson 12.70
Jon Rodgers Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner Kyle Busch 35  13.27
James Jones On Pit Row Jimmie Johnson 13.53
Ryan Rantz On Pit Row Jimmie Johnson 11.73
Darren Fauth Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet Jimmie Johnson 12.03
P J Walsh FantasyNASCARPreview.com Jimmie Johnson 11.80
Charles Rantz ifantasyrace.com Jimmie Johnson 15.03

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Darkhorse Picks: Pepsi Max 400 at Autoclub Speedway

October 6, 2010

The On Pit Row fantasy racing experts opinions of the best Sprint Cup driver currently outside the top 12 in Sprint Cup Series points, for this weekends race.

Expert Website Pick to Win Finish Experts Avg
Matt Mercer On Pit Row David Reutimann 10 14.93
James Jones On Pit Row Mark Martin 6 12.33
Josh Lobdell FFToolbox Jamie McMurray 17 19.57
Dennis Mickelson RaceTalkRadio.com Ryan Newman 5 10.30
Jon Rodgers Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner Dale Earnhardt Jr 16 15.43
Jerry LaggerEric McGuire One and Done Game WinnerFree agent Mark MartinJoey Logano 611 13.8713.73
Charlie Turner On Pit Row Kasey Kahne 4 14.03
Tall Glass of Milk Answerthis.com Jamie McMurray 17 10.37
Adam Ansell Roto Experts Jamie McMurray 17 14.00  
Charles Rantz ifantasyrace.com Juan Pablo Montoya 14 12.97
Darren Fauth Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet Kasey Kahne 4 14.13
Lou Lauer USAR Fans Juan Pablo Montoya 14 14.40
Ryan Rantz On Pit Row A J Allmendiger 19 15.10
Eric McClung On Pit Row Mark Martin 6 17.57
P J Walsh FantasyNASCARPreview.com Joey Logano 11 13.53
Bob Ellis NASCAR Ranting and Raving Jamie McMurray 17 15.67
Chris Leone On Pit Row Kasey Kahne 4 18.77
Dan Beaver Fantasy Racing Games Joey Logano 11 11.57

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Pepsi Max 400 from Auto Club Speedway

October 6, 2010

The racing at Auto Club Speedway is very fast and very spread out, so frontrunners can jump out to a big lead in a hurry. From a fantasy perspective, sleeper picks are few and far between because of the premium this track places on horsepower. The fastest cars will cut through traffic with ease. Long green flag runs can bring fuel mileage into play at the end of the race.

Chasing the pole at Auto Club Speedway

  1. Jimmie Johnson… Average start of 8.7 in 15 career starts at Fontana.
  2. Juan Pablo Montoya…Started second in Feb start at Fontana, fourth in last year’s Chase event.
  3. Jamie McMurray… Won the pole in Feb start at Fontana.

Here’s an explanation of the highlighted text in the rankings.

Y! A/B/C – The top options in the Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game by driver list.

  1.  Jimmie Johnson… Five-time winner (2/10, 10/09, 8/08, 9/07, 4/02) at Fontana, average running position of fourth or better in six straight starts with over 70 laps led. Y!-A1
  2. Kevin Harvick… Average running position of eighth or better in three of the last four starts at Fontana, runner-up in Feb with 27 laps led. Y!-B1
  3. Greg Biffle… Won 2/05 race at Fontana, average running position of 13th or better in five straight with two Top Fives and Three Top 10s. Y!-A2
  4. Carl Edwards… Won 2/08 race at Fontana, average finish of 7.2 in 12 career starts. Y!-A3
  5. Tony Stewart… Average running position of 16th or better in 10 straight starts at Fontana, seven Top 10s. Y!-A4
  6. Jeff Gordon… Three-time winner (5/04, 5/99, 6/97) at Fontana, average running position of 13th or better in 10 of the last 11 starts.
  7. Kyle Busch… Won 9/05 race at Fontana, average running position of 12th or better in nine of the last 10 starts.
  8. Kurt Busch… Won 4/03 race at Fontana, average finish of 6.3 in the last three starts.
  9. Denny Hamlin… Average running position of 11th or better in three of the last four starts at Fontana.
  10. Jeff Burton… Finished third and led 46 laps in Feb start at Fontana. Y!-B2
  11. Matt Kenseth… Three-time winner (2/09, 2/07, 2/06) at Fontana, average running position of 12th or better in 10 of the last 11 starts. Y!-B3
  12. Mark Martin… Won 5/98 race at Fontana, has finished fourth in two straight starts.
  13. Juan Pablo Montoya… Finished 11th and third last year at Fontana, DNF (engine) in Feb.
  14. Clint Bowyer… Three Top 10s in the last four starts at Fontana. Y!-B4
  15. Kasey Kahne… Won 9/06 race at Fontana, four finishes of 12th or better in the last six starts. Y!-B5
  16. Ryan Newman… Only one Top 10 since 06 at Fontana. Y!-B6
  17. Jamie McMurray… Average finish of 16.4 in 14 career starts at Fontana. Y!-B7
  18. David Reutimann… Average finish of 14.0 in the last four starts at Fontana. Y!-B8
  19. Joey Logano… Finished fifth in Feb start at Fontana, average running position of 15th.
  20. A.J. Allmendinger… Average finish of 23.8 in five career starts at Fontana, one Top 15. Y!-C1
  21. Paul Menard… Finished a career-best 18th in Feb start at Fontana. Y!-C2
  22. Martin Truex Jr…. Average finish of 21.6 in nine career starts at Fontana.
  23. Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Finished 25th or worse in five of the last seven starts at Fontana.
  24. Brad Keselowski… Finished 21st in Feb start at Fontana.
  25. David Ragan… Average finish of 14.6 in 13 career starts at Fontana.
  26. Sam Hornish Jr…. Finished 12th and 16th in the last two starts at Fontana. Y!-C3
  27. Scott Speed… Finished a career-best 11th in Feb start at Fontana. Y!-C4
  28. Marcos Ambrose… Average finish of 28.0 in four career starts at Fontana.
  29. Reed Sorenson… Average finish of 27.8 in eight career starts at Fontana.
  30. Elliott Sadler… Won 9/04 race at Fontana, average finish of 28.3 since 07.
  31. Regan Smith… Finished a career-best 19th in Feb start at Fontana.
  32. Patrick Carpentier… Finished 18th in 8/08 start at Fontana.
  33. Casey Mears… Average finish of 22.7 in 13 career starts at Fontana.
  34. David Gilliland… Average finish of 27.9 in eight career starts at Fontana.
  35. Travis Kvapil… Average finish of 29.0 in seven career starts at Fontana.
  36. Robby Gordon… Average finish of 28.1 in 16 career starts at Fontana, two straight DNFs.
  37. Bobby Labonte… Average finish of 23.8 since 08 at Fontana.
  38. Dave Blaney… Average finish of 30.9 in 15 career starts at Fontana.
  39. Andy Lally… Likely start and park.
  40. Landon Cassill… Likely start and park.
  41. Joe Nemechek… Likely start and park.
  42. Michael McDowell… Likely start and park.
  43. J.J. Yeley… Likely start and park.
  44. Mike Bliss… Likely start and park. DNQ last week.
  45. Jason Leffler… Likely start and park. DNQ last week.

Contender or Pretender: Auto Club Speedway

October 5, 2010

Jimmie Johnson (Contender) – How can you bet against Jimmie Johnson this week at Auto Club Speedway? He’s getting into his traditional Chase roll and he’s won three out of the last four races at California. Auto Club Speedway is Jimmie Johnson’s home track and is the site of his first career win. In the five COT races at Auto Club Speedway Jimmie Johnson has only finished outside the top two once, and that was a ninth place finish.

Kasey Kahne (Pretender) – Kasey Kahne is a previous California winner but I don’t trust him. The consistency of this team hasn’t been there all season long so I certainly don’t expect it to show up now. Kasey Kahne has only led 1 lap in the COT and has finished 34th in the last two Auto Club races.

Kevin Harvick (Contender) - Harvick arguably had the best car the last time the series visited this venue. Unfortunately for him Jimmie Johnson had his lucky horseshoe that day. Other reasons to be optimistic about Kevin Harvick this week are that he won at Michigan, and was very impressive at Kansas.

Ryan Newman (Pretender) – Since 2006 Ryan Newman has only finished in the top ten once at Auto Club Speedway. His lone top ten over this time period was a tenth place finish in the February 2008 race. Since his last top ten Ryan Newman has only finished in the top fifteen once and has an average finish of 23.75.

Jeff Gordon (Contender) – Jeff Gordon is another California native who I think will contend for the win. Matt Kenseth and Jimmie Johnson won the races last year, but Jeff Gordon finished second twice. Gordon’s average running position in both races last year was 3.5.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. (Pretender) – With no shake up coming in this lame duck portion of the season expect nothing to change about the 88. In the COT era Earnhardt Jr. probably has about the worst average finish. In the COT his average finish is 29.4. He’s finished  11th, 25th, 32nd, 39th, and 40th in the COT.

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