NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Coke Zero 400 from Daytona

June 30, 2010

The Independence Day fireworks could come a day early at Daytona International Speedway. With so many tempers flaring coming into the event and 10 drivers within 200 points of the Chase cutoff, expect some drivers to take desperate actions. The tight packs that form on restrictor plate tracks make for unpredictable outcomes, but be sure to review the results from the Daytona 500 and the spring race at Talladega Superspeedway prior to setting your fantasy lineup.

Chasing the pole at Daytona International Speedway

Note: Qualifying was rained out for last year’s summer race.

  1. Mark Martin… Fastest lap for Daytona 500 qualifying. Second fastest for ’09 Daytona 500 and ’08 Coke Zero 400.
  2. Dale Earnhardt, Jr…. Second fastest lap for the Daytona 500 qualifying. Third fastest for ’08 Coke Zero 400.
  3. Ryan Newman… Third fastest lap in qualifying for the last two Daytona 500s.

Here’s an explanation of the highlighted text in the rankings:

  • Y! A/B/C - The top options in the Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game by driver list.
  • Value play - Sneaky plays at this week’s track. Drivers to consider as low-rent salary cap options or alternatives in allocation formats.
  1. Kyle Busch… Won 7/08 race at Daytona. Average running position of 11 or better in nine straight races at Daytona, laps led in seven straight. Finished ninth at Talladega. Y!-A1
  2. Kevin Harvick… Won 2/07 race at Daytona. Finished seventh in the Daytona 500, average running position of fifth, led 41 laps. Won at Talladega. Y!-B1
  3. Kurt Busch… Last eight races at Daytona: five Top Fives, six Top 10s. Finished eighth at Talladega. Y!-A2
  4. Tony Stewart… Three-time winner (7/09, 7/06, 7/05) at Daytona, two Top Fives, one Top 10 since ’08. Y!-A3
  5. Jimmie Johnson… Won 2/06 race at Daytona. Runner-up in last year’s summer race at Daytona, DNF in the Daytona 500. Y!-A4
  6. Jeff Gordon… Six-time winner (2/05, 7/04, 2/99, 10/98, 2/97, 7/95) at Daytona. No Top 10s since ’07 at Daytona. Average running position of 14th or better in four of the last five with at least one lap led, but only one Top 15.
  7. Jamie McMurray… Strong value play. Two-time winner (2/10, 7/07) at Daytona. Runner-up at Talladega. Y!-B2
  8. Clint Bowyer… Two Top Fives in the last three races at Daytona, average finish of 12.3 in nine career starts. Finished seventh at Talladega. Y!-B3
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Two-time winner (3/04, 7/01) at Daytona. Runner-up in the Daytona 500. Average finish of 8.5 in ’08 at Daytona, 33.0 last year. Y!-B4
  10. Denny Hamlin… Finished a career-best third in last year’s summer race at Daytona, finished 17th in the Daytona 500. Finished fourth at Talladega.
  11. Juan Pablo Montoya… Strong value play. Two straight Top 10s at Daytona. Finished third at Talladega.
  12. Kasey Kahne… DNF in the Daytona 500, average running position of 10th. Y!-B5
  13. Jeff Burton… Won 7/00 race at Daytona. Finished 11th at the Daytona 500, average running position of 21st. Y!-B6
  14. Matt Kenseth… Won 3/09 race at Daytona. Has finished eighth or better in five of the last six races at Daytona. Y!-B7
  15. Carl Edwards… Three Top Fives, four Top 10s over the last six races at Daytona, average finish of 9.3.
  16. Greg Biffle… Won 7/03 race at Daytona. Finished third in the Daytona 500, first Top 10 since ’08. Average finish of 19.0 last year at Daytona.
  17. A.J. Allmendinger… Strong value play. Average running position between 11th and 20th in the last three races at Daytona. Y!-C1
  18. Martin Truex Jr…. Strong value play. Finished career-best sixth in the Daytona 500, 12th at Talladega. Y!-B8
  19. Mark Martin… Finished 16th or better in three of the last four races at Daytona. Finished fifth at Talladega.
  20. David Ragan… Strong value play. Average running position of 14th or 15th in the last three races at Daytona. Finished sixth at Talladega.
  21. Elliott Sadler… Strong value play. Average finish of 7.5 last year at Daytona. Finished 24th in the Daytona 500, average running position of 11th.
  22. Ryan Newman… Won 2/08 race at Daytona, only one Top 20 since.
  23. Joey Logano… Finished 19th and 20th in the last two starts at Daytona.
  24. David Reutimann… Finished a career-best fifth in the Daytona 500, average running position of 15th.
  25. Marcos Ambrose… Average finish of 11.5 in ’09 races at Daytona, DNF (engine) in the Daytona 500.
  26. Brad Keselowski… Average finish of 30.0 in two career starts at Daytona.
  27. Scott Speed… Finished 19th at Daytona, 15th at Talladega. Y!-C2
  28. Paul Menard… Average running position of 22nd or 24th in the last three races at Daytona. Y!-C3
  29. Reed Sorenson… Long shot value play. Finished ninth in last year’s Daytona 500. Average finish of 23.4 in eight career starts at Daytona. Y!-C4
  30. Bobby Labonte… Average running position of 22nd or 25th in the last four races at Daytona.
  31. Regan Smith… Average finish of 26.6 in five career starts at Daytona.
  32. Sam Hornish Jr…. Average finish of 29.0 in five career starts at Daytona.
  33. Robby Gordon… Finished 28th at Daytona, 20th at Talladega.
  34. David Stremme… Finished 27th at Talladega.
  35. Travis Kvapil… Finished 29th at Daytona, 18th at Talladega.
  36. Kevin Conway… Finished 30th at Talladega.
  37. Michael McDowell… Finished 33rd at Daytona.
  38. Mike Bliss… DNF due to crash at Daytona, finished 10th at Talladega.
  39. Max Papis… DNFs at both Daytona and Talladega.
  40. Robert Richardson Jr…. Finished 31st at Daytona, finished 26th at Talladega.
  41. Joe Nemechek… Possible start and park.
  42. Dave Blaney… Possible start and park.
  43. J.J. Yeley… Possible start and park.
  44. Todd Bodine… Possible start and park.
  45. Steve Park… Possible start and park. No Cup starts since ’03.

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Expert Darkhorse Picks: Coke Zero 400 at Daytona

June 30, 2010

The On Pit Row fantasy racing experts opinions of the best Sprint Cup driver currently outside the top 12 in Sprint Cup Series points, for this weekends race.

Expert Website Pick to Win Finish Experts Avg
Matt Mercer On Pit Row Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 16.11
James Jones On Pit Row Clint Bowyer 17 11.39
Josh Lobdell FFToolbox Jamie McMurray 39 23.39
Dennis Mickelson RaceTalkRadio.com Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 11.28
Jon Rodgers Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 12.56
Jerry Lagger

Eric McGuire

One and Done Game Winner

Free agent

Dale Earnhardt Jr

Dale Earnhardt Jr

4

4

12.56

12.00

Charlie Turner On Pit Row Clint Bowyer 17 12.39
Tall Glass of Milk Answerthis.com Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 8.06
Adam Ansell Roto Experts Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 10.78
Charles Rantz ifantasyrace.com Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 11.89
Darren Fauth Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet Clint Bowyer 17 13.44
Lou Lauer USAR Fans Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 12.17
Ryan Rantz On Pit Row Clint Bowyer 17 15.33
Eric McClung On Pit Row Jamie McMurray 39 20.33
P J Walsh FantasyNASCARPreview.com Jamie McMurray 39 12.22
Bob Ellis NASCAR Ranting and Raving Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 13.94
Chris Leone On Pit Row Elliott Sadler 22 20.67
Dan Beaver Fantasy Racing Games Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 10.33

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Experts Picks: Coke Zero 400 at Daytona

June 30, 2010

Expert Website Pick to Win Finish Experts Avg
Josh Lobdell FFToolbox Denny Hamlin 24 15.56
Jerry Lagger One and Done Game Winner Tony Stewart 25 11.56
Dennis Michelsen RaceTalkRadio.com Kurt Busch 7 11.83
Tall Glass of Milk Answerthis.com Clint Bowyer 17 13.22
Eric McClung On Pit Row Kyle Busch 40 15.44
Eric McGuire free agent Kurt Busch 7 12.11
Dan Beaver Fantasy Racing Games Tony Stewart 25 9.28
Matt Mercer On Pit Row Jeff Gordon 3 14.06
Adam Ansell Roto Experts Kyle Busch 40 14.94
Chris Leone On Pit Row Dale Earnhardt Jr 4 13.50
Bob Ellis NASCAR Ranting and Raving Tony Stewart 25 10.28
CharlieTurner On Pit Row Kevin Harvick 1 15.56
Lou Lauer USAR Fans Tony Stewart 25 14.50
Jon Rodgers Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner Kyle Busch 40 14.83
James Jones On Pit Row Tony Stewart 25 11.67
Ryan Rantz On Pit Row Tony Stewart 25 12.00
Darren Fauth Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet Tony Stewart 25 14.00
P J Walsh FantasyNASCARPreview.com Tony Stewart 25 11.33
Charles Rantz ifantasyrace.com Kyle Busch 40 16.44

Contender Or Pretender: Daytona 2

June 29, 2010

Tony Stewart (Contender) - No driver has been better in the Daytona summer race over the last half decade than Tony Stewart. He’s the defending champion of this race and he’s won it on two other occasions (2005 & 2006). The summer race at Daytona is extremely slick and it plays right into Tony Stewart’s driving style. All of his career Daytona wins have come in the July race.

In 2007 “teammate issues” took Tony Stewart out early and in 2008 Tony Stewart raced competitively but was relieved by JJ Yeley midway through the race. Essentially Tony Stewart is three for three in the last five years when he completes the whole race.

Jeff Burton (Pretender) - I don’t care if Jeff Burton wins the pole, has the best handling car in practice, and guarantees a win. I’m simply not going to pick him this week. My evidence for not picking him can be found at New Hampshire, Infineon, Dover, Darlington, Talladega, Texas and Martinsville. One of my fantasy racing theories is that if a driver is having consistency issues restrictor plate tracks are not the place where its going to turn around.

Kevin Harvick (Contender) - No driver has been more consistent this season than Kevin Harvick. At tracks where car survivability is an issue I like to pick drivers who avoid DNF’s. In 2010 Kevin Harvick has zero DNF’s and throughout his career he’s done a good job avoiding them.

In the Daytona 500 this year Kevin Harvick had perhaps the best handling car in the field but circumstances at the end didn’t play out his way. From all of the restrictor plate races we’ve seen this year there’s no doubt that Kevin Harvick is going to be one of the drivers to beat Saturday night.

Ryan Newman (Pretender) – In the what have you done for me lately world of fantasy racing Ryan Newman hasn’t done anything at Daytona since his 2008 Daytona 500 victory. His average finish at Daytona since the biggest moment in his career is 31.5. In seventeen career starts at this track Newman has only finished in the top ten three times.

Carl Edwards (Contender) - Carl Edwards is very good in the summer race at Daytona. In the last three years his average finish in the Coke Zero 400 is 3.33. If NASCAR wasn’t so quick to throw out a caution in the summer 2008 race and let it play out like the 2007 Daytona 500 then I think Carl Edward’s would’ve won that race.

Denny Hamlin (Pretender) – In ten career starts at Daytona Denny Hamlin only has one career top ten. His lone top ten is also his only career top fifteen at Daytona. If you’re a big fan of qualifying then perhaps you’ll be happy to hear that Hamlin has only started outside the top twenty once at Daytona, but unfortunately qualifying means little here.

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Experts Picks: New Hampshire Motor Speedway

June 23, 2010

Expert Website Pick to Win Finish Experts Avg
Josh Lobdell FFToolbox No Pick 44 15.06
Jerry Lagger One and Done Game Winner Mark Martin 21 10.76
Dennis Michelsen RaceTalkRadio.com Jeff Gordon 4 12.12
Tall Glass of Milk Answerthis.com Jeff Burton 12 13.00
Eric McClung On Pit Row Jeff Gordon 4 14.00
Eric McGuire free agent Denny Hamlin 14 12.41
Dan Beaver Fantasy Racing Games Denny Hamlin 14 8.35
Matt Mercer On Pit Row Denny Hamlin 14 14.71
Adam Ansell Roto Experts Tony Stewart 2 13.47
Chris Leone On Pit Row Jeff Gordon 4 14.06
Bob Ellis NASCAR Ranting and Raving Jimmie Johnson 1 9.41
CharlieTurner On Pit Row Jeff Burton 12 16.41
Lou Lauer USAR Fans Greg Biffle 16 13.35
Jon Rodgers Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner Kyle Busch 11 13.50
James Jones On Pit Row Kurt Busch 3 10.88
Ryan Rantz On Pit Row Kevin Harvick 5 11.24
Darren Fauth Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet Denny Hamlin 14 13.35
P J Walsh FantasyNASCARPreview.com Denny Hamlin 14 10.53
Charles Rantz ifantasyrace.com Jeff Gordon 4 15.06

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Expert Darkhorse Picks:New Hampshire Motor Speedway

June 23, 2010

The On Pit Row fantasy racing experts opinions of the best Sprint Cup driver currently outside the top 12 in Sprint Cup Series points, for this weekends race.

Expert Website Pick to Win Finish Experts Avg
Matt Mercer On Pit Row Juan Pablo Montoya 34 16.82
James Jones On Pit Row Clint Bowyer 7 11.06
Josh Lobdell FFToolbox No Pick 44 22.47
Dennis Mickelson RaceTalkRadio.com Ryan Newman 6 11.71
Jon Rodgers Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner Joey Logano 9 13.06
Jerry Lagger

Eric McGuire

One and Done Game Winner

Free agent

Joey Logano

Dale Earnhardt Jr

9

8

13.06

12.47

Charlie Turner On Pit Row Juan Pablo Montoya 34 12.12
Tall Glass of Milk Answerthis.com Ryan Newman 6 8.29
Adam Ansell Roto Experts Joey Logano 9 11.18
Charles Rantz ifantasyrace.com Ryan Newman 6 12.35
Darren Fauth Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet Juan Pablo Montoya 34 13.24
Lou Lauer USAR Fans Clint Bowyer 7 12.65
Ryan Rantz On Pit Row Ryan Newman 6 15.24
Eric McClung On Pit Row Juan Pablo Montoya 34 19.24
P J Walsh FantasyNASCARPreview.com Ryan Newman 6 10.65
Bob Ellis NASCAR Ranting and Raving Juan Pablo Montoya 34 14.53
Chris Leone On Pit Row Martin Truex Jr 22 20.59
Dan Beaver Fantasy Racing Games Marcos Ambrose 13 10.71

NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview: Lenox Industrial Tools 301 from Loudon

June 23, 2010

It’s been a while since the Sprint Cup series drivers have battled on a flat track. The braking skills needed to succeed at New Hampshire Motor Speedway also apply to the other flat tracks: Martinsville Speedway, Phoenix International Raceway and Richmond International Raceway. To refresh fantasy owners on the best finishers from those tracks, I’ve built another NASCAR Fantasy Tool for flat tracks.

Chasing the pole at New Hampshire Motor Speedway

Note: Qualifying was rained out for last year’s summer race and the ’08 fall race.

    1. Kurt Busch… Started third in last year’s fall race at Loudon. Has started in the first two rows in four straight races this season.
    2. Martin Truex, Jr…. Started seventh 4/09 at Loudon, eighth 6/08.
    3. Jimmie Johnson… Has started third and second in the last two weeks, fifth or better in seven of the last nine.

      Here’s an explanation of the highlighted text in the rankings:

      • Y! A/B/C - The top options in the Yahoo! Fantasy Auto Racing game by driver list.
      • Value play - Sneaky plays at this week’s track. Drivers to consider as low-rent salary cap options or alternatives in allocation formats.
        1. Jimmie Johnson… Two-time winner (’03 sweep) at Loudon, average finish of 5.8 since ’07 with average running position no worse than eighth, average of 35.8 laps led. Y!-A1
        2. Denny Hamlin… Won 7/07 race at Loudon, runner-up in last year’s fall race. Average finish of 7.5 in eight career starts, six Top 10s– has never finished worse than 15th. Held an average running position of ninth or better six times. Y!-A2
        3. Kurt Busch… Three-time winner (6/08, ’04 sweep) at Loudon- average finish of 4.0 since ’08, average of 17.8 laps led. Y!-A4
        4. Jeff Gordon… Three-time winner (8/98, 9/97, 7/95) at Loudon. Average finish of 7.6 since ’07– runner-up three times, has finished no worse than 15th. Has never held an average running position worse than 13th. Y!-A3
        5. Kyle Busch… Won 7/06 race at Loudon, finished seventh and fifth last year- average running positions of seventh and 17th.
        6. Kevin Harvick… Won 9/06 race at Loudon- average finish of 12.0 in ’08, 33.0 last year. Y!-B1
        7. Tony Stewart… Two-time winner (7/05, 7/00) at Loudon. Since ’05: average finish of 9.7 in 10 starts. Finished fifth and 14th last year, average of 46.0 laps led- held average running positions of sixth and eighth.
        8. Jeff Burton… Four-time winner (9/00, 7/99, 7/98, 7/97) at Loudon- finished 12th and fourth in ’08, 31st and 16th last year. Y!-B2
        9. Juan Pablo Montoya… Started and finished 12th in last year’s summer race, led six laps. Won the pole, finished third in the fall, led 105 laps.
        10. Clint Bowyer… Won 9/07 race at Loudon, held average running positions of eighth and 10th in ’08, 15th and 14th last year. Y!-B3
        11. Kasey Kahne… Last three races at Loudon: 11th, 10th, DNF (engine). Y!-B4
        12. Ryan Newman… Two-time winner (9/05, 9/02) at Loudon, average running positions of 17th and 10th last year. Y!-B5
        13. Mark Martin… Won last year’s fall race at Loudon, average running position of eighth. Finished 14th in the summer, average running position of ninth.
        14. Greg Biffle… Won 9/08 race at Loudon, average running position of 16th and 17th last year- finished 18th and ninth.
        15. Matt Kenseth… Average finish of 22.5 last year at Loudon, no Top 10s since ’07. Y!-B6
        16. Carl Edwards… Only two Top 10s in 11 career starts at Loudon, 13.8 average finish.
        17. Dale Earnhardt Jr…. Has held an average running position of 13th or better in seventh straight at Loudon, 11th in both races last year. Y!-B7
        18. David Reutimann… Held average running positions of 12th and 13th last year at Loudon, finished fourth and 12th. Y!-B8
        19. Martin Truex Jr…. Strong value play. Average finish of 4.8 from ’07-’08 at Loudon– DNF (crash) and 19th-place finish last year.
        20. Marcos Ambrose… Strong value play. Average finish of 21.5 last year at Loudon.
        21. Joey Logano… Won 6/09 race at Loudon, 21st in the fall. Started first, finished second in last year’s Nationwide race.
        22. Brad Keselowski… Finished sixth in last year’s summer race at Loudon, average running position of 23rd. Average finish of 6.5 in two career Nationwide starts.
        23. Jamie McMurray… No Top 10s since ’04 at Loudon, finished 33rd and 18th last year.
        24. Sam Hornish Jr…. Finished a career-best eighth in last year’s summer race at Loudon, DNF (engine) in the fall. Y!-C1
        25. A.J. Allmendinger… Average start of 29.4, average finish of 34.2 in five career starts at Loudon– finished a career-best 25th in last year’s fall race. Y!-C2
        26. Elliott Sadler… Two Top 10s in the last four races at Loudon, average running position no better than 20th.
        27. David Stremme… Finished 28th in both races last year at Loudon. Y!-C3
        28. David Ragan… Average finish of 28.8 in six career starts at Loudon, two DNFs due to crash.
        29. Paul Menard… Average finish of 29.5 in six career starts at Loudon. Y!-C4
        30. Scott Speed… Average finish of 33.5 in two career starts at Loudon.
        31. Reed Sorenson… Finished 17th and 36th last year Loudon.
        32. Regan Smith… Average finish of 29.0 in five career starts at Loudon.
        33. Travis Kvapil… Average finish of 30.3 in six career starts in Loudon, no starts last year.
        34. David Gilliland… Average finish of 35.3 in six career starts at Loudon.
        35. Max Papis… First career Cup start at Loudon. Finished 22nd in last year’s Truck race.
        36. Kevin Conway… First career Cup start at Loudon. Finished 21st in ’07 Nationwide race.
        37. Casey Mears… Possible start and park. Average finish of 12.0 last year at Loudon.
        38. Joe Nemechek… Likely start and park. Won 9/99 race at Loudon.
        39. Andy Lally… Likely start and park.
        40. P.J. Jones… Likely start and park.
        41. Mike Bliss… Likely start and park.
        42. Dave Blaney… Likely start and park.
        43. Michael McDowell… Likely start and park.
        44. J.J. Yeley… Likely start and park. Average finish of 14.8 in six career starts at Loudon.
        45. Todd Bodine… Likely start and park.

          NASCAR Fantasy Tool 2010 – Average Finish on Flat Tracks [Martinsville, Phoenix, Richmond]

          June 22, 2010

          This table is a companion for my NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview of the Lenox Industrial Tools 301 from New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Below are 33 drivers of interest and their average finish this season in the three races held on flat tracks.

          MVIL PHX RICH AVG
          Jeff Gordon 3 2 2 2.3
          Ryan Newman 4 1 8 4.3
          Carl Edwards 8 7 5 6.7
          Jimmie Johnson 9 3 10 7.3
          Clint Bowyer 7 9 12 9.3
          Joey Logano 2 10 16 9.3
          Martin Truex, Jr. 5 17 7 9.7
          Kyle Busch 22 8 1 10.3
          Marcos Ambrose 11 11 9 10.3
          Matt Kenseth 18 6 13 12.3
          Brad Keselowski 12 16 14 14.0
          Denny Hamlin 1 30 11 14.0
          Juan Pablo Montoya 36 5 6 15.7
          Jeff Burton 20 25 4 16.3
          Mark Martin 21 4 25 16.7
          Kevin Harvick 35 13 3 17.0
          Greg Biffle 10 22 22 18.0
          Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 15 12 32 19.7
          David Ragan 16 19 24 19.7
          David Reutimann 28 20 15 21.0
          Sam Hornish, Jr. 13 18 36 22.3
          A.J. Allmendinger 38 15 17 23.3
          Paul Menard 14 29 27 23.3
          Tony Stewart 26 23 23 24.0
          Jamie McMurray 30 24 19 24.3
          Kurt Busch 23 35 18 25.3
          Robby Gordon 34 14 28 25.3
          Kasey Kahne 17 39 21 25.7
          Regan Smith 32 26 30 29.3
          Scott Speed 33 21 35 29.7
          Elliott Sadler 24 31 38 31.0
          Travis Kvapil 27 36 34 32.3
          Kevin Conway 31 33 37 33.7

          Contender or Pretender: New Hampshire

          June 22, 2010

          Jimmie Johnson (Contender) – After Infineon do you really think NASCAR can Jimmie proof the Chase? At New Hampshire this week it will be hard to keep Jimmie Johnson down. Only once in Jimmie Johnson’s career has he finished outside the top fifteen and that wasn’t because of a competitive issue. Johnson’s average New Hampshire finish since 2007 is 5.83. Earlier this year at Phoenix which is similar to New Hampshire Jimmie Johnson led a race high 113 laps (tied with Kyle Busch for the most) and finished 3rd.

          Joey Logano (Pretender) – Joey Logano won last year at New Hampshire in the rain. Does a rain shortened win mean anything in fantasy racing? Of course it doesn’t, at least not under the circumstances in how Joey Logano won. I think it would be hard for Joey Logano to be any less competitive than he was last year. Joey Logano was a 20th place driver at best last year in this race. He started 24th, he was in 24th at the midpoint of the race and his average running position was 21.4. Joey Logano was only in the top fifteen 13.9 percent of the race.

          Kurt Busch (Contender) – Kurt Busch is always a contender every time the series visits New Hampshire. His average finish over the last four races at New Hampshire is 4th. In eighteen starts at the Magic Mile Kurt Busch has three wins and nine top tens. Last year Kurt Busch outscored all drivers in terms of cumulative points scored at New Hampshire.

          Mark Martin (Pretender) – Mark Martin was second to Kurt Busch in cumulative points in 2009 at New Hampshire but what numbers of his from last year would you say are truly representative of him in 2010? I would say that for the most part he’s been marginally less competitive basically across the board. The last race Martin led a lap at was Talladega, but who can’t led a lap there?

          Kyle Busch (Contender) – Early in his stint at Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Busch was a flop at New Hampshire. Now he very easily should be considered the favorite this weekend. Earlier this year Kyle Busch won at Richmond and if a late caution didn’t come out at Phoenix Busch would’ve won that race.

          Denny Hamlin (Pretender) – A Pretender isn’t a driver who’s going to finish in 43rd place. A Pretender is somebody who I think is overrated heading into the weekend. Even though Denny Hamlin has never finished worse than 15th at New Hampshire in his career I feel that he’s overrated this weekend. Right after his surgery he was nowhere near competitive at Phoenix. A week later he went on to victory at Texas. I can easily give him leeway for Phoenix but at Richmond after his Texas victory he was nowhere near competitive.

          NASCAR Fantasy Racing Experts Picks: Toyota Save Mart 350 at Sonoma

          June 17, 2010

          Expert Website Pick to Win Finish Experts Avg
          Josh Lobdell FFToolbox Denny Hamlin 34 13.23
          Jerry Lagger One and Done Game Winner Juan Pablo Montoya 10 10.13
          Dennis Michelsen RaceTalkRadio.com Tony Stewart 9 12.63
          Tall Glass of Milk Answerthis.com Mark Martin 14 13.06
          Eric McClung On Pit Row Tony Stewart 9 14.63
          Eric McGuire free agent Jeff Gordon 5 12.31
          Dan Beaver Fantasy Racing Games Juan Pablo Montoya 10 8.0
          Matt Mercer On Pit Row Kyle Busch 39 14.75
          Adam Ansell Roto Experts Tony Stewart 9 14.19
          Chris Leone On Pit Row Juan Pablo Montoya 10 14.69
          Bob Ellis NASCAR Ranting and Raving Jeff Gordon 5 9.94
          CharlieTurner On Pit Row Tony Stewart 9 16.69
          Lou Lauer USAR Fans Tony Stewart 9 13.75
          Jon Rodgers Gillette Young Guns Challenge Winner Kyle Busch 39 13.50
          James Jones On Pit Row Kyle Busch 39 11.38
          Ryan Rantz On Pit Row Kyle Busch 39 11.63
          Darren Fauth Fantasy Racing Cheat Sheet Juan Pablo Montoya 10 13.31
          P J Walsh FantasyNASCARPreview.com Tony Stewart 9 10.31
          Charles Rantz ifantasyrace.com Kurt Busch 32 15.75

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