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Kevin Harvick (Contender) – Do you remember Kevin Harvick being involved in any wrecks this year? None come to my mind. He’s done a remarkable job avoiding problems on the track in 2010. Also lets not forget he’s been pretty good on restrictor plate tracks this year and has won two out of the three races.
Jeff Gordon (Pretender) – The Chase hasn’t been nice to Jeff Gordon and neither has Talladega in recent years. Jeff Gordon won the first COT race at Talladega but since then he hasn’t finished better than 19th. His average finish in the last five races here is 27.2.
Kurt Busch (Contender) – Surviving the big one can be a tough task for many NASCAR drivers. Kurt Busch has never won at Talladega, but I don’t think that’s what is important to fantasy racers this weekend. Fantasy racers just don’t want their picks to crash. In nineteen races at NASCAR’s biggest track Kurt Busch has finished in the top ten thirteen times. At one point in his career he had seven straight top eight finishes.
Denny Hamlin (Pretender) – In the last nine Talladega races Hamlin’s finished in the top five three times. In his other six races he finished 20th or worse. When Hamlin comes down to Alabama he comes to race. What will he do this time, race or ride in the back?
Jimmie Johnson (Contender) – Guess who has the best five year average at Talladega? That’s right its Jimmie Johnson. Johnson races the spring and fall Talladega races differently. In the spring Jimmie decides to race, and in the fall he waits to strike. In the last three spring races his average finish is 24.6. His average finish in the last three fall races is 5.6.
Greg Biffle (Pretender) – Greg Biffle runs into trouble a lot at Talladega. He’s also run into his fair share of problems in the Chase. He’s lucky Clint Bowyer was penalized at New Hampshire other wise he would be dead last in the Chase standings. Despite his two recent top tens at Talladega I would highly recommend you avoid Biffle this race.
This table show the average finish of 36 drivers in the three races at Atlanta Motor Speedway, Texas Motor Speedway and Charlotte Motor Speedway during the 2010 season that have been held thus far. All of these tracks are 1.5-miles long and feature 24 degrees of corner backing.
|
ATL |
TX |
CHR |
AVG |
| Kurt Busch |
1 |
4 |
1 |
2.0 |
| Kasey Kahne |
4 |
5 |
12 |
7.0 |
| Kevin Harvick |
9 |
7 |
11 |
9.0 |
| Kyle Busch |
25 |
3 |
3 |
10.3 |
| Matt Kenseth |
2 |
20 |
10 |
10.7 |
| A.J. Allmendinger |
6 |
13 |
14 |
11.0 |
| Ryan Newman |
17 |
11 |
9 |
12.3 |
| Denny Hamlin |
21 |
1 |
18 |
13.3 |
| Mark Martin |
33 |
6 |
4 |
14.3 |
| Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
15 |
8 |
22 |
15.0 |
| Paul Menard |
5 |
35 |
8 |
16.0 |
| Greg Biffle |
8 |
10 |
32 |
16.7 |
| Jimmie Johnson |
12 |
2 |
37 |
17.0 |
| Regan Smith |
14 |
21 |
19 |
18.0 |
| Jeff Gordon |
18 |
31 |
6 |
18.3 |
| Scott Speed |
10 |
16 |
30 |
18.7 |
| Jeff Burton |
20 |
12 |
25 |
19.0 |
| Elliott Sadler |
19 |
18 |
21 |
19.3 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. |
27 |
9 |
23 |
19.7 |
| Tony Stewart |
13 |
32 |
15 |
20.0 |
| Jamie McMurray |
29 |
30 |
2 |
20.3 |
| Marcos Ambrose |
11 |
17 |
36 |
21.3 |
| Sam Hornish, Jr. |
28 |
19 |
17 |
21.3 |
| Clint Bowyer |
23 |
36 |
7 |
22.0 |
| Bill Elliott |
16 |
25 |
27 |
22.7 |
| Brad Keselowski |
36 |
14 |
20 |
23.3 |
| Juan Pablo Montoya |
3 |
34 |
38 |
25.0 |
| Bobby Labonte |
22 |
23 |
31 |
25.3 |
| David Ragan |
37 |
15 |
24 |
25.3 |
| Joey Logano |
35 |
28 |
13 |
25.3 |
| David Gilliland |
26 |
29 |
26 |
27.0 |
| David Reutimann |
40 |
37 |
5 |
27.3 |
| Travis Kvapil |
30 |
24 |
28 |
27.3 |
| Carl Edwards |
39 |
33 |
16 |
29.3 |
| Kevin Conway |
31 |
27 |
35 |
31.0 |
| Robby Gordon |
43 |
26 |
33 |
34.0 |
This table is a companion for my NASCAR Fantasy Racing Preview of the AMP Engery 500 at Talladega Superspeedway. Below are 37 drivers of fantasy interest and their average finish at the two superspeedways: Daytona International Speedway and Talladega. Both tracks are also the only two to require use restrictor plates.
Also see my 2009 Average Finish at Chase Tracks Table which is very useful for planning your lineup for the rest of the season.
|
Daytona 1 |
Talladega |
Daytona 2 |
AVERAGE |
| Kurt Busch |
10 |
6 |
5 |
7.0 |
| Matt Kenseth |
1 |
17 |
8 |
8.7 |
| Marcos Ambrose |
17 |
4 |
6 |
9.0 |
| David Ragan |
6 |
12 |
13 |
10.3 |
| Tony Stewart |
8 |
23 |
1 |
10.7 |
| Elliot Sadler |
5 |
19 |
10 |
11.3 |
| Brad Keswlowski* |
|
1 |
24 |
12.5 |
| Juan Pablo Montoya |
14 |
20 |
9 |
14.3 |
| Greg Biffle |
20 |
7 |
18 |
15.0 |
| Carl Edwards |
18 |
24 |
4 |
15.3 |
| Regan Smith |
21 |
15 |
12 |
16.0 |
| Denny Hamlin |
26 |
22 |
3 |
17.0 |
| Reed Sorenson |
9 |
11 |
33 |
17.7 |
| Brian Vickers |
39 |
8 |
7 |
18.0 |
| Jeff Burton |
28 |
10 |
16 |
18.0 |
| AJ Allmendinger |
3 |
35 |
17 |
18.3 |
| Ryan Newman |
36 |
3 |
20 |
19.7 |
| Jimmie Johnson |
31 |
30 |
2 |
21.0 |
| Casey Mears |
15 |
16 |
34 |
21.7 |
| Michael Waltrip |
7 |
21 |
37 |
21.7 |
| Kevin Harvick |
2 |
38 |
26 |
22.0 |
| Dale Earnhardt Jr. |
27 |
2 |
39 |
22.7 |
| Martin Truex Jr. |
11 |
33 |
25 |
23.0 |
| Bobby Labonte |
22 |
28 |
21 |
23.7 |
| Joey Logano |
43 |
9 |
19 |
23.7 |
| Scott Speed |
35 |
5 |
31 |
23.7 |
| Clint Bowyer |
4 |
39 |
29 |
24.0 |
| David Reutimann |
12 |
26 |
36 |
24.7 |
| Paul Menard |
38 |
13 |
23 |
24.7 |
| Jeff Gordon |
13 |
37 |
28 |
26.0 |
| Kasey Kahne |
29 |
36 |
15 |
26.7 |
| Kyle Busch |
41 |
25 |
14 |
26.7 |
| Robby Gordon |
34 |
29 |
22 |
28.3 |
| Jamie McMurray |
37 |
42 |
11 |
30.0 |
| Mark Martin |
16 |
43 |
38 |
32.3 |
| Sam Hornish Jr. |
32 |
34 |
32 |
32.7 |
| David Stremme |
33 |
31 |
35 |
33.0 |
Written by Eric McClung · Filed Under 1 | 1 Comment
Who's Up
|
Who's Down
|
Biggest Gain This Week:
Juan Pablo Montoya: 7th to 4th
|
Biggest Drop This Week:
Brian Vickers: 8th to 11th
|
No new drivers this week.
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No drivers dropped out this week.
|
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Rank: 1st
|
Mark Martin- 5 Wins, 16 Top TensWill Martin be the man who finally dethrones Jimmie Johnson? He's known for finishing second and being unlucky but Martin and the 5 team are capable of going toe to toe with Johnson. |
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Rank: 2nd
|
Jimmie Johnson- 4 Wins, 17 Top TensJohnson had a statement victory at Dover but in order to win the 2009 championship the 48 will need to have the same type of day at Kansas where they are the defending champions. |
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Rank: 3rd
|
Kurt Busch- 1 Win, 16 Top TensThe 2 car team is a real sleeper for the championship but they are definitely an elite team this year. They don't get much attention but they are lurking and are in position to strike if the opportunity arises. |
|
Rank: 4th
|
Juan Pablo Montoya- 4 Top Fives, 14 Top TensEver since Montoya was let off the leash for the Chase this team has been incredible. Before the Chase they were very consistent but in the Chase they are now competitive and consistent. Those two things are what win drivers championships. |
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Rank: 5th
|
Jeff Gordon- 1 Win, 19 Top TensJeff Gordon was my pre-Chase championship pick and they still have plenty of time to make their move however they're already 122 points behind Martin. That's almost a full race behind and they haven't even had real problems yet |
|
Rank: 6th
|
Tony Stewart- 3 Wins, 19 Top TensAt Dover this team finally was able to avoid problems and get their first solid finish since Watkins Glen. My opinion about this team is that their still in trouble. The 14 isn't on par with some of the other elite teams at the intermediate tracks. |
|
Rank: 7th
|
Denny Hamlin- 2 Wins, 15 Top TensDenny finally snapped his horrible finish streak at Dover and instead replaced it with a new uncompetitive streak that now stands at 1. Teams in the Chase simply can't have this type of uncompetitive day in the Chase. |
|
Rank: 8th
|
Greg Biffle- 8 Top Fives, 13 Top TensWith how uncompetitive the Fords have been lately if they ever get into the lead at Kansas I think NASCAR should just call it race and say its to dark outside. In 2007 Biffle didn't even need to cross the line first and he still won. |
|
Rank: 9th
|
Ryan Newman- 5 Top Fives, 14 Top TensRyan Newman now has 5 top tens in row. Don't get to excited because I don't think Kansas, California, and Lowes will be kind to the 39 in the upcoming weeks. |
|
Rank: 10th
|
Kasey Kahne- 2 Wins, 11 Top TensI'm amazed that Kahne first used the R6 motor at Dover in June and now in September they are back to the old R5 motor. What's next, will they bring back the Intrepid too? |
|
Rank: 11th
|
Brian Vickers- 1 Win, 13 Top TensThe 83 can't use their excuse that Dover and New Hampshire are bad tracks for them anymore. If they're going to make some noise in the Chase the time is now. |
|
Rank: 12th
|
Carl Edwards- 7 Top Fives, 11 Top TensI'm shocked at how uncompetitive this team was at Dover. Their average finish over the last 5 races is now a very uncompetitive 19.2. This team needs to start experimenting for next year because their finished. |
Who's Up
|
Who's Down
|
Biggest Gain This Week:
Jeff Gordon: 3rd to 1st
|
Biggest Drop This Week:
Juan Pablo Montoya: 5th to 9th
|
New This Week:
|
Dropped Out This Week:
|
|
|
Rank: 1st
|
Jeff Gordon- 1 Win, 18 Top TensWhy will Jeff Gordon finally complete his drive for 5? Gordon has one of the best Intermediate track programs in the series and there's not one single race in the Chase that this team isn't capable of winning. |
|
|
Rank: 2nd
|
Jimmie Johnson- 3 Wins, 15 Top TensJimmie Johnson has won the past three championships but you know what, this isn't last year. The bullet proof Jimmie Johnson of old has repeatedly been making mistakes. Under a 10 race format teams must be mistake free. |
|
|
Rank: 3rd
|
Mark Martin- 4 Wins, 14 Top TensMark Martin leads the series in wins and he is also one of the most consistent drivers. The thing that scares me about Mark Martin is that he's just so unlucky. When you make a championship pick don't overlook this fact. |
|
|
Rank: 4th
|
Kurt Busch- 1 Win, 14 Top TensKurt Busch won the very first Chase and this team is capable of rallying and perhaps winning the 2009 championship. Unfortunately they will have distractions because Pat Tryson the crew chief already announced he's leaving. |
|
|
Rank: 5th
|
Tony Stewart- 3 Wins, 18 Top TensTony Stewart has been the point’s leader for the majority of the season. Stewart was the point’s leader because of consistency not because they were the fastest team on the track. The consistency of this team is gone is now so what do they have left? |
|
|
Rank: 6th
|
Denny Hamlin- 2 Wins, 14 Top TensHamlin has scored the most points in the series over the last 6 races but in my opinion the 11 team never performs well under pressure. I've lost count of all their long untimely pit stops. Their Chase history isn't stellar either. |
|
|
Rank: 7th
|
Kasey Kahne- 2 Wins, 10 Top TensKasey Kahne is entering the Chase with a very recent win at Atlanta. The majority of the tracks in the Chase are good tracks for Kahne and with a little bit of luck Kahne might be in the championship mix at Homestead. |
|
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Rank: 8th
|
Brian Vickers- 1 Win, 13 Top TensHow many times in NASCAR have we seen drivers who just manage to squeak into the Chase crumble like a cookie once their in? Vickers should be able to dodge this problem because the Chase is Intermediate track heavy so it fits his strength perfectly. |
|
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Rank: 9th
|
Juan Pablo Montoya- 2 Top Fives, 12 Top TensMontoya has been driving smart and safe all season long but now is the time for this team to step it up and take more risks. Montoya certainly has consistency figured out, but he needs top fives in order to get the big points week in and week out. |
|
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Rank: 10th
|
Carl Edwards- 7 Top Fives, 11 Top TensCarl Edwards is one of the top NASCAR drivers around but the equipment underneath him just isn't good enough. No driver has ever won the championship if they haven't already won a race earlier in the year. |
|
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Rank: 11th
|
Greg Biffle- 8 Top Fives, 12 Top TensI find it impossible to be optimistic about Roush-Fenway cars when there performances at Intermediate tracks are sub par. The 16 got off to a fast start last year in the Chase and if they contend they will need to do so again.
|
|
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Rank: 12th
|
Ryan Newman- 5 Top Fives, 12 Top TensI expect Newman to get off to a good start in the Chase. New Hampshire and Dover are good tracks for Newman but reality will set in at Kansas. |
